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OSU
Ohio State
BuckeyesBalancedBig Ten Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.057
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.028
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.378
Defensive EPA/play
-0.233
lower = better
Off Success Rate
65.3%
Def Success Rate
33.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.611
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.67
Peer Context
Where Ohio State ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense90th
Opp-adjusted defense69th
Offensive EPA/play94th
Defensive EPA/play72th
Offensive success rate99th
Explosiveness69th
Defensive havoc69th
Points per drive77th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1South Carolina2026OA +0.069 / +0.042similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, offensive EPA3532Oklahoma2023OA +0.095 / +0.041similar: passing offense, rushing offense, offensive EPA3473Nebraska2026OA +0.067 / -0.017similar: offensive EPA, run defense, turnover rate3374Oklahoma2020OA +0.043 / +0.039similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, offensive success rate3295UConn2026OA +0.013 / +0.061similar: run defense, TD drive rate, passing offense327
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ball State | 56-3 | W | -50.0 | W | 55.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Kent State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Illinois | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Iowa | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Maryland | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Indiana | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ USC | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Oregon | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Northwestern | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Nebraska | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Michigan | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 51.4%Rush 48.6%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
24.2%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
4.67
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
16.7%