Kent State Golden Flashes Football Analytics

KENT

Kent State

Golden FlashesBalanced

Mid-American Conference0-1#128 (-10.04)

Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

7· FOverall

Offense

16· DRating

5· FPer play

4· FConsistency

24· DBig plays

Defense

7· FRating

0· FPer play

0· FConsistency

Situational

12· FRed-zone D

34· D3rd down O

1· F3rd down D

How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense

-0.042

Opp-Adj Defense

-0.069

higher = better

Offensive EPA/play

-0.331

Defensive EPA/play

+0.467

lower = better

Off Success Rate

31.3%

Def Success Rate

66.7%

allowed · lower = better

Explosive Rate

19.2%

pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8

Explosive Allowed

22.9%

lower = better

Net EPA/play

-0.798

net · higher = better

Recent EPA Trend

0.000

last 3 weeks

Points / Drive

0.00

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating

+0.25

expected pts/game

Kicking

+0.21

own kicking game

Kick Defense

-0.01

vs opponent kicks

Returns

-0.01

own return game

Return Defense

+0.06

vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Kent State ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense

17th

Opp-adjusted defense

7th

Offensive EPA/play

5th

Defensive EPA/play

0th

Offensive success rate

2th

Explosiveness

24th

Defensive havoc

4th

Points per drive

1th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Marshall2026OA -0.032 / -0.030similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, takeaway rate420 2Purdue2024OA -0.029 / -0.062similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, TD drive rate385 3Colorado2022OA -0.222 / -0.093similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, passing offense363 4UNLV2020OA -0.027 / -0.044similar: run defense, rushing offense, TD drive rate361 5UConn2023OA -0.119 / -0.056similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, offensive success rate358

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

Wk	Opponent	Score	W/L	Spread	ATS	Total	O/U
1	@ South Carolina	0-57	L	+35.5	L	53.5	O
2	vs Wofford	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	@ Ohio State	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	vs Ball State	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	vs Ohio	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	@ Western Michigan	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	@ South Florida	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	vs Akron	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	@ Sacramento State	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	@ Bowling Green	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	vs Miami (OH)	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	@ Eastern Michigan	-	-	-	-	-	-

Betting Profile

ATS Record

0-1

0.0%

O/U Record

1-0

100.0%

Straight Up

0-1

0.0%

Home ATS0-0

Away ATS0-1

Favorite ATS0-0

Underdog ATS0-1

Last 5 ATS

Full ATS log & splits →

Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Situation	OFF EPA	OFF Rank	DEF EPA	DEF Rank
Overall	-0.300	7th	+0.410	1th
Red Zone	-	0th	+0.673	12th
Third Down	-0.125	34th	+1.406	1th
No Garbage Time	-0.276	7th	+0.467	0th
First Half	-0.276	12th	+0.467	0th
Second Half	-0.347	7th	+0.356	10th
Early Downs	-0.229	12th	+0.366	3th
Passing Downs	-0.418	9th	+0.529	7th
Standard Downs	-0.200	18th	+0.379	4th
Goal to Go	-	0th	+0.798	26th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.9%Rush 52.1%

Havoc/Game

5.0

Havoc Rate

6.8%

TO Margin

-1.0

Explosive/G

5.0

Yards/Game

179.0

Pts/Drive

0.00

3rd Down%

35.7%

3&Out%

20.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Kent State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.

Stat	Kent State	Opponents
Scoring
Points	0	57
Points / Game	0.0	57.0
First Downs
Total	10	35
Rushing	4	14
Passing	5	20
Penalty	1	1
Rushing
Attempts	25	39
Yards	100	278
Yards / Carry	4.0	7.1
Yards / Game	100.0	278.0
Touchdowns	0	4
Passing
Attempts	23	33
Completions	14	27
Completion %	60.9%	81.8%
Yards	79	367
Yards / Attempt	3.4	11.1
Touchdowns	0	4
Interceptions	1	0
Passer Rating	81.03	215.24
Total Offense
Plays	48	72
Yards	179	645
Yards / Play	3.7	9.0
Yards / Game	179.0	645.0
Punt Returns
Returns	0	3
Yards	0	30
Average	—	10.0
Touchdowns	0	0
Kickoff Returns
Returns	1	0
Yards	14	0
Average	14.0	—
Touchdowns	0	0
Punting
Punts	8	1
Yards	370	37
Average	46.3	37.0
Interception Returns
Returns	0	1
Yards	0	0
Touchdowns	0	0
Fumbles
Fumbles	0	2
Lost	0	0
Penalties
Penalties	5	3
Yards	35	25
Yards / Game	35.0	25.0
Time of Possession
Per Game	25:13	34:47
Third Downs
Attempts	14	8
Conversions	5	7
Conversion %	35.7%	87.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts	0	0
Conversions	0	0
Conversion %	—	—
Red Zone
Trips	0	5
Scores (TD + FG)	0	5
Score %	—	100.0%
Touchdowns	0	5
TD %	—	100.0%
Field Goals
Attempts	0	0
Made	0	0
Pct	—	—
PAT Kicking
Attempts	0	7
Made	0	7
Pct	—	100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts	0	1
Made	0	1

Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.

Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →