Fourth Down Data
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ND

Notre Dame

Fighting IrishBalanced
FBS Independents1-0#67 (+1.26)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

51· COverall
Offense
60· CRating
79· BPer play
72· BConsistency
33· DBig plays
Defense
46· CRating
69· CPer play
61· CConsistency
Situational
55· CRed-zone O
82· BRed-zone D
38· D3rd down O
79· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.038
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.037
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.239
Defensive EPA/play
-0.230
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.7%
Def Success Rate
39.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
13.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.469
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.40

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.07
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.16
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.19
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.05
own return game
Return Defense
+0.32
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Notre Dame ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
78th
Opp-adjusted defense
74th
Offensive EPA/play
80th
Defensive EPA/play
70th
Offensive success rate
80th
Explosiveness
33th
Defensive havoc
63th
Points per drive
59th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Washington2019OA -0.038 / +0.089similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, turnover rate4232Fresno State2022OA +0.017 / +0.055similar: pass defense, offensive success rate, passing offense3853Arkansas2021OA +0.129 / +0.084similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, pass defense3694Louisiana Tech2019OA -0.057 / +0.033similar: turnover rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3665Iowa State2020OA +0.039 / +0.038similar: takeaway rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA349

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Wisconsin41-13W-20.5W46.5O
2vs Rice------
3vs Michigan State------
4@ Purdue------
5@ North Carolina------
6vs Stanford------
7@ BYU------
9@ Navy------
10vs Miami------
11vs Boston College------
12vs SMU------
13@ Syracuse------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off47thRush Off92thRed Zone Off55th3rd Down Off38thPass Def93thRush Def34thRed Zone Def83th3rd Down Def80th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.23988th-0.21672th
Red Zone+0.14855th-0.67583th
Third Down-0.06338th-0.47080th
No Garbage Time+0.16168th-0.22971th
First Half-0.09132th-0.13853th
Second Half+0.603100th-0.29779th
Early Downs+0.20782th-0.00839th
Passing Downs+0.01747th-0.55793th
Standard Downs+0.32492th-0.00934th
Goal to Go+0.49765th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.5%Rush 52.5%
Havoc/Game
14.0
Havoc Rate
22.6%
TO Margin
+2.0
Explosive/G
13.0
Yards/Game
350.0
Pts/Drive
3.40
3rd Down%
33.3%
3&Out%
30.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Notre Dame vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatNotre DameOpponents
Scoring
Points4113
Points / Game41.013.0
First Downs
Total2016
Rushing85
Passing1010
Penalty21
Rushing
Attempts3231
Yards11167
Yards / Carry3.52.2
Yards / Game111.067.0
Touchdowns20
Passing
Attempts2930
Completions1919
Completion %65.5%63.3%
Yards239217
Yards / Attempt8.27.2
Touchdowns21
Interceptions01
Passer Rating157.50128.43
Total Offense
Plays6161
Yards350284
Yards / Play5.74.7
Yards / Game350.0284.0
Punt Returns
Returns11
Yards123
Average12.03.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns23
Yards4251
Average21.017.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts35
Yards108225
Average36.045.0
Interception Returns
Returns10
Yards550
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles11
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties46
Yards4143
Yards / Game41.043.0
Time of Possession
Per Game31:3628:24
Third Downs
Attempts913
Conversions35
Conversion %33.3%38.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts11
Conversions11
Conversion %100.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips42
Scores (TD + FG)42
Score %100.0%100.0%
Touchdowns30
TD %75.0%0.0%
Field Goals
Attempts22
Made22
Pct100.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts51
Made51
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →