Fourth Down Data
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STAN

Stanford

CardinalBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference1-1#136 (-18.87)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

1· FOverall
Offense
7· FRating
33· DPer play
23· DConsistency
55· CBig plays
Defense
1· FRating
14· FPer play
25· DConsistency
Situational
43· CRed-zone O
15· DRed-zone D
27· D3rd down O
17· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.036
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.136
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.031
Defensive EPA/play
+0.171
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.6%
Def Success Rate
47.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.202
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.006
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.70

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.19
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.07
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.07
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.33
own return game
Return Defense
+0.51
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Stanford ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
19th
Opp-adjusted defense
1th
Offensive EPA/play
33th
Defensive EPA/play
15th
Offensive success rate
24th
Explosiveness
55th
Defensive havoc
26th
Points per drive
29th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UConn2023OA -0.119 / -0.056similar: run defense, havoc rate, turnover rate4482Georgia Tech2021OA +0.003 / -0.081similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense4243California2022OA -0.088 / -0.023similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive success rate4034Middle Tennessee2025OA -0.065 / -0.153similar: turnover rate, takeaway rate, TD drive rate3715Temple2021OA -0.129 / -0.034similar: havoc rate, turnover rate, takeaway rate366

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
0vs Hawai'i37-27W-4.0W48.5O
1vs Miami6-45L+23.5L47.5O
3@ Duke------
4vs Georgia Tech------
5@ Wake Forest------
6@ Notre Dame------
7vs Elon------
8vs NC State------
9@ Louisville------
11@ Virginia Tech------
12@ California------
13vs SMU------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-1
50.0%
O/U Record
2-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-1
50.0%
Home ATS1-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
WL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off15thRush Off55thRed Zone Off43th3rd Down Off28thPass Def36thRush Def9thRed Zone Def15th3rd Down Def17th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.07426th+0.14914th
Red Zone-0.02243th+0.61015th
Third Down-0.19928th+0.45717th
No Garbage Time-0.03133th+0.17113th
First Half-0.09231th+0.15018th
Second Half-0.05339th+0.14928th
Early Downs+0.10468th+0.02530th
Passing Downs-0.32215th+0.04836th
Standard Downs+0.06555th+0.2129th
Goal to Go-0.23423th+0.67130th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 55.5%Rush 44.5%
Havoc/Game
9.5
Havoc Rate
13.2%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
12.5
Yards/Game
383.5
Pts/Drive
1.70
3rd Down%
38.7%
3&Out%
35.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 2 games — Stanford vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatStanfordOpponents
Scoring
Points4372
Points / Game21.536.0
First Downs
Total3846
Rushing1213
Passing2331
Penalty32
Rushing
Attempts6154
Yards236167
Yards / Carry3.93.1
Yards / Game118.083.5
Touchdowns33
Passing
Attempts7688
Completions4462
Completion %57.9%70.5%
Yards531707
Yards / Attempt7.08.0
Touchdowns17
Interceptions01
Passer Rating120.93161.92
Total Offense
Plays137142
Yards767874
Yards / Play5.66.2
Yards / Game383.5437.0
Punt Returns
Returns43
Yards812
Average2.04.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns82
Yards15845
Average19.822.5
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts1310
Yards570390
Average43.839.0
Interception Returns
Returns10
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles03
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties1712
Yards12981
Yards / Game64.540.5
Time of Possession
Per Game29:1530:45
Third Downs
Attempts3130
Conversions1216
Conversion %38.7%53.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts42
Conversions12
Conversion %25.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips86
Scores (TD + FG)66
Score %75.0%100.0%
Touchdowns46
TD %50.0%100.0%
Field Goals
Attempts31
Made21
Pct66.7%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts58
Made57
Pct100.0%87.5%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts02
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →