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UTEP
UTEP
MinersBalancedMountain West Conference1-11#132 (-27.69)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
2· FOverall
Offense
5· FRating
23· DPer play
37· DConsistency
35· DBig plays
Defense
1· FRating
4· FPer play
20· DConsistency
Situational
30· DRed-zone O
8· FRed-zone D
37· D3rd down O
1· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.113
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.192
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.077
Defensive EPA/play
+0.160
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.9%
Def Success Rate
49.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
28.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.237
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.021
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.61
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.51
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.63
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.91
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.07
own return game
Return Defense
-0.03
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#132
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 57 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UTEP ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense11th
Opp-adjusted defense1th
Offensive EPA/play23th
Defensive EPA/play4th
Offensive success rate38th
Explosiveness36th
Defensive havoc3th
Points per drive15th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Colorado2022OA -0.222 / -0.093similar: defensive EPA, run defense, havoc rate4212UCLA2025OA -0.026 / -0.044similar: offensive EPA, havoc rate, TD drive rate4113UCLA2018OA +0.036 / -0.086similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, passing offense3934Virginia Tech2025OA -0.015 / -0.060similar: offensive success rate, defensive EPA, pass defense3815Kansas2021OA -0.047 / -0.174similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, offensive EPA380
2019 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Houston Christian | 36-34 | W | -17.5 | L | 61.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Texas Tech | 3-38 | L | +34.5 | L | 64 | U |
| 4 | vs Nevada | 21-37 | L | +14.0 | L | 51.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Southern Miss | 13-31 | L | +25.5 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 6 | vs UTSA | 16-26 | L | -1.5 | L | 45 | U |
| 8 | @ Florida International | 17-32 | L | +25.0 | W | 51 | U |
| 9 | vs Louisiana Tech | 21-42 | L | +18.5 | L | 50 | O |
| 10 | @ North Texas | 26-52 | L | +22.0 | L | 58.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Charlotte | 21-28 | L | +13.0 | W | 55 | U |
| 12 | @ UAB | 10-37 | L | +15.0 | L | 42.5 | O |
| 13 | @ New Mexico State | 35-44 | L | +8.0 | L | 56 | O |
| 14 | vs Rice | 16-30 | L | +7.0 | L | 43 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-9
25.0%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
1-11
8.3%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS3-7
Last 5 ATS
LWLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.054 | 27th | +0.156 | 1th |
| Red Zone | -0.120 | 31th | +0.192 | 8th |
| Third Down | -0.023 | 37th | +0.437 | 1th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.078 | 24th | +0.162 | 3th |
| First Half | -0.068 | 26th | +0.145 | 9th |
| Second Half | -0.040 | 35th | +0.168 | 3th |
| Early Downs | -0.057 | 25th | +0.030 | 37th |
| Passing Downs | -0.153 | 15th | +0.332 | 3th |
| Standard Downs | +0.002 | 50th | +0.070 | 20th |
| Goal to Go | +0.047 | 59th | +0.286 | 9th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 43.0%Rush 57.0%
Havoc/Game
7.8
Havoc Rate
11.8%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
13.3
Yards/Game
329.2
Pts/Drive
1.61
3rd Down%
35.2%
3&Out%
24.2%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 12 games — UTEP vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UTEP | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 235 | 431 |
| Points / Game | 19.6 | 35.9 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 215 | 250 |
| Rushing | 95 | 106 |
| Passing | 104 | 128 |
| Penalty | 16 | 16 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 438 | 431 |
| Yards | 1,658 | 2,415 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Yards / Game | 138.2 | 201.3 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 25 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 330 | 334 |
| Completions | 177 | 218 |
| Completion % | 53.6% | 65.3% |
| Yards | 2,292 | 2,755 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.9 | 8.2 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 116.13 | 158.24 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 768 | 765 |
| Yards | 3,950 | 5,170 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 6.8 |
| Yards / Game | 329.2 | 430.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 18 | 13 |
| Yards | 88 | 56 |
| Average | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 31 | 21 |
| Yards | 630 | 419 |
| Average | 20.3 | 20.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 63 | 38 |
| Yards | 2,448 | 1,579 |
| Average | 38.9 | 41.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 8 |
| Yards | 0 | 46 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 14 | 10 |
| Lost | 6 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 80 | 62 |
| Yards | 738 | 549 |
| Yards / Game | 61.5 | 45.8 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 32:07 | 27:53 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 162 | 151 |
| Conversions | 57 | 79 |
| Conversion % | 35.2% | 52.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 10 |
| Conversions | 18 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 72.0% | 90.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 38 | 54 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 32 | 49 |
| Score % | 84.2% | 90.7% |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 38 |
| TD % | 55.3% | 70.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 16 | 21 |
| Made | 13 | 18 |
| Pct | 81.3% | 85.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 50 |
| Made | 22 | 47 |
| Pct | 95.7% | 94.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 4 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.