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UCLA
UCLA
BruinsBalancedBig Ten Conference3-9#72 (-1.93)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
47· COverall
Offense
63· CRating
23· DPer play
38· DConsistency
43· CBig plays
Defense
25· DRating
7· FPer play
0· FConsistency
Situational
81· BRed-zone O
21· DRed-zone D
48· C3rd down O
4· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.026
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.044
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.082
Defensive EPA/play
+0.123
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.2%
Def Success Rate
53.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.205
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.176
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.82
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.21
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.13
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.21
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.05
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#72
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#119
model 47 higher
Recruiting Rank
#36
recruiting 36 spots higher
12 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UCLA ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense42th
Opp-adjusted defense33th
Offensive EPA/play24th
Defensive EPA/play7th
Offensive success rate30th
Explosiveness43th
Defensive havoc2th
Points per drive24th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1UTEP2019OA -0.113 / -0.192similar: offensive EPA, havoc rate, TD drive rate4112Arizona2024OA -0.017 / -0.032similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3663Kansas2019OA +0.049 / -0.077similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, defensive EPA3644Texas State2021OA -0.092 / -0.137similar: takeaway rate, passing offense, defensive success rate3495UNLV2020OA -0.027 / -0.044similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, pass defense343
2025 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah | 10-43 | L | +5.5 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 2 | @ UNLV | 23-30 | L | -15.5 | L | 53.5 | U |
| 3 | vs New Mexico | 10-35 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Northwestern | 14-17 | L | +11.5 | W | 34.5 | U |
| 6 | vs Penn State | 42-37 | W | -0.5 | W | 70.5 | O |
| 7 | @ Michigan State | 38-13 | W | +7.5 | W | 53 | U |
| 8 | vs Maryland | 20-17 | W | -3.5 | L | 52.5 | U |
| 9 | @ Indiana | 6-56 | L | +26.0 | L | 52.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Nebraska | 21-28 | L | -1.0 | L | 45 | O |
| 12 | @ Ohio State | 10-48 | L | +34.0 | L | 47 | O |
| 13 | vs Washington | 14-48 | L | +10.5 | L | 51 | O |
| 14 | @ USC | 10-29 | L | +21.5 | W | 58.5 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS1-4
Underdog ATS3-4
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.077 | 25th | +0.132 | 4th |
| Red Zone | +0.148 | 82th | +0.139 | 21th |
| Third Down | +0.072 | 48th | +0.382 | 4th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.095 | 19th | +0.114 | 10th |
| First Half | -0.139 | 13th | +0.132 | 10th |
| Second Half | -0.013 | 50th | +0.132 | 6th |
| Early Downs | -0.093 | 16th | +0.006 | 36th |
| Passing Downs | -0.026 | 47th | +0.347 | 1th |
| Standard Downs | -0.104 | 10th | +0.047 | 29th |
| Goal to Go | +0.275 | 87th | +0.155 | 30th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 49.1%Rush 50.9%
Havoc/Game
8.3
Havoc Rate
12.6%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
11.9
Yards/Game
319.9
Pts/Drive
1.82
3rd Down%
37.3%
3&Out%
20.4%
Team Statistics
2025 season totals across 12 games — UCLA vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UCLA | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 218 | 401 |
| Points / Game | 18.2 | 33.4 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 208 | 263 |
| Rushing | 86 | 134 |
| Passing | 104 | 106 |
| Penalty | 18 | 23 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 375 | 440 |
| Yards | 1,676 | 2,285 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Yards / Game | 139.7 | 190.4 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 26 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 362 | 326 |
| Completions | 229 | 215 |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 66.0% |
| Yards | 2,163 | 2,359 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.0 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 4 |
| Passer Rating | 123.26 | 147.56 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 737 | 766 |
| Yards | 3,839 | 4,644 |
| Yards / Play | 5.2 | 6.1 |
| Yards / Game | 319.9 | 387.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 18 |
| Yards | 47 | 143 |
| Average | 5.2 | 7.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 31 | 12 |
| Yards | 580 | 263 |
| Average | 18.7 | 21.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 46 | 28 |
| Yards | 1,913 | 1,229 |
| Average | 41.6 | 43.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 4 | 7 |
| Yards | 63 | 64 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 11 | 14 |
| Lost | 6 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 90 | 52 |
| Yards | 786 | 481 |
| Yards / Game | 65.5 | 40.1 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:10 | 30:50 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 158 | 146 |
| Conversions | 59 | 80 |
| Conversion % | 37.3% | 54.8% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 31 | 25 |
| Conversions | 15 | 14 |
| Conversion % | 48.4% | 56.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 31 | 51 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 29 | 43 |
| Score % | 93.5% | 84.3% |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 38 |
| TD % | 58.1% | 74.5% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 11 |
| Made | 16 | 8 |
| Pct | 80.0% | 72.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 22 | 51 |
| Made | 22 | 49 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 96.1% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 4 |
| Made | 2 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.