Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference3-9#76 (-2.93)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

44· COverall
Offense
71· BRating
41· CPer play
25· DConsistency
42· CBig plays
Defense
16· DRating
9· FPer play
12· FConsistency
Situational
58· CRed-zone O
7· FRed-zone D
47· C3rd down O
1· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.049
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.077
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.010
Defensive EPA/play
+0.120
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.9%
Def Success Rate
50.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.130
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.161
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.88

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.10
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.41
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.65
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.01
own return game
Return Defense
-0.13
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#76
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
Market (Vegas)
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#52
recruiting 24 spots higher
3 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
72th
Opp-adjusted defense
20th
Offensive EPA/play
41th
Defensive EPA/play
9th
Offensive success rate
21th
Explosiveness
43th
Defensive havoc
4th
Points per drive
29th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisiana Tech2023OA -0.009 / -0.137similar: pass defense, run defense, takeaway rate4162Central Michigan2023OA +0.010 / -0.139similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, run defense4103Eastern Michigan2025OA +0.012 / -0.169similar: run defense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3994Georgia State2025OA -0.043 / -0.171similar: rushing offense, takeaway rate, havoc rate3855Nebraska2017OA +0.058 / -0.086similar: havoc rate, defensive success rate, TD drive rate379

2019 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Indiana State24-17W-7.5L53.5U
2vs Coastal Carolina7-12L-7.0L54.5U
3@ Boston College48-24W+18.5W51O
4vs West Virginia24-29L+4.5L49O
5@ TCU14-51L+14.5L48O
6vs Oklahoma20-45L+32.0W67U
8@ Texas48-50L+20.0W63.5O
9vs Texas Tech37-34W+6.0W65.5O
10vs Kansas State10-38L+5.5L54.5U
12@ Oklahoma State13-31L+17.5L68.5U
13@ Iowa State31-41L+26.0W58.5O
14vs Baylor6-61L+14.5L48O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS3-2
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS5-5
Last 5 ATS
WLLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off79thRush Off19thRed Zone Off59th3rd Down Off47thPass Def12thRush Def31thRed Zone Def7th3rd Down Def1th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.00743th+0.09015th
Red Zone+0.01659th+0.1947th
Third Down+0.01547th+0.4221th
No Garbage Time-0.01640th+0.10214th
First Half-0.10117th+0.09721th
Second Half+0.07874th+0.08218th
Early Downs-0.05325th+0.01049th
Passing Downs+0.14479th+0.20312th
Standard Downs-0.09219th+0.03931th
Goal to Go+0.29389th+0.08626th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 50.5%Rush 49.5%
Havoc/Game
10.6
Havoc Rate
13.4%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
12.3
Yards/Game
377.3
Pts/Drive
1.88
3rd Down%
39.2%
3&Out%
22.9%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 12 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points282433
Points / Game23.536.1
First Downs
Total224309
Rushing92151
Passing116138
Penalty1620
Rushing
Attempts383551
Yards1,7492,708
Yards / Carry4.64.9
Yards / Game145.8225.7
Touchdowns1032
Passing
Attempts390376
Completions235240
Completion %60.3%63.8%
Yards2,7782,994
Yards / Attempt7.18.0
Touchdowns2522
Interceptions146
Passer Rating134.06146.83
Total Offense
Plays773927
Yards4,5275,702
Yards / Play5.96.2
Yards / Game377.3475.2
Punt Returns
Returns918
Yards46274
Average5.115.2
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns4426
Yards873531
Average19.820.4
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5847
Yards2,5801,949
Average44.541.5
Interception Returns
Returns614
Yards69137
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1211
Lost62
Penalties
Penalties6680
Yards601746
Yards / Game50.162.2
Time of Possession
Per Game26:4333:17
Third Downs
Attempts166176
Conversions6592
Conversion %39.2%52.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2016
Conversions78
Conversion %35.0%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips3461
Scores (TD + FG)3053
Score %88.2%86.9%
Touchdowns2043
TD %58.8%70.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1925
Made1115
Pct57.9%60.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3152
Made2750
Pct87.1%96.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts53
Made30
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →