Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference2-10#128 (-12.40)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

4· FOverall
Offense
26· DRating
24· DPer play
32· DConsistency
35· DBig plays
Defense
1· FRating
1· FPer play
1· FConsistency
Situational
50· CRed-zone O
1· FRed-zone D
22· D3rd down O
0· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.047
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.174
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.072
Defensive EPA/play
+0.227
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.1%
Def Success Rate
54.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
29.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.299
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.115
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.78

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.89
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.78
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.11
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.10
own return game
Return Defense
-0.09
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#128
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#128
model & market agree
Recruiting Rank
#55
recruiting 73 spots higher
3 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
31th
Opp-adjusted defense
4th
Offensive EPA/play
24th
Defensive EPA/play
1th
Offensive success rate
41th
Explosiveness
35th
Defensive havoc
4th
Points per drive
23th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UTEP2019OA -0.113 / -0.192similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, offensive EPA3802Vanderbilt2023OA -0.121 / -0.060similar: run defense, passing offense, offensive success rate3633UCLA2018OA +0.036 / -0.086similar: TD drive rate, run defense, offensive success rate3604Texas State2020OA -0.012 / -0.051similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, defensive success rate3545Arkansas2019OA -0.077 / -0.071similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, defensive EPA350

2021 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs South Dakota17-14W+28.0W52.5O
2@ Coastal Carolina22-49L----
3vs Baylor7-45L+18.0L49.5O
4@ Duke33-52L+16.5L57.5O
5@ Iowa State7-59L+34.5L56.5O
7vs Texas Tech14-41L+16.5L67U
8vs Oklahoma23-35L+38.5W67U
9@ Oklahoma State3-55L+30.5L54.5O
10vs Kansas State10-35L+24.0L56U
11@ Texas57-56W+30.5W61.5O
12@ TCU28-31L+22.0W64.5U
13vs West Virginia28-34L+15.5W55.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
2-10
16.7%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS5-6
Last 5 ATS
LLWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off20thRush Off40thRed Zone Off50th3rd Down Off22thPass Def2thRush Def2thRed Zone Def1th3rd Down Def0th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.05730th+0.2072th
Red Zone-0.03850th+0.3191th
Third Down-0.07922th+0.7110th
No Garbage Time-0.07124th+0.2152th
First Half-0.07826th+0.08320th
Second Half-0.03635th+0.3260th
Early Downs+0.05974th+0.05320th
Passing Downs-0.12420th+0.3022th
Standard Downs-0.01940th+0.1722th
Goal to Go+0.21988th+0.3907th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 42.3%Rush 57.7%
Havoc/Game
8.4
Havoc Rate
12.2%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
11.7
Yards/Game
324.2
Pts/Drive
1.78
3rd Down%
36.0%
3&Out%
26.7%

Team Statistics

2021 season totals across 12 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points249506
Points / Game20.842.2
First Downs
Total195287
Rushing85151
Passing99122
Penalty1114
Rushing
Attempts435495
Yards1,6722,998
Yards / Carry3.86.1
Yards / Game139.3249.8
Touchdowns1540
Passing
Attempts319314
Completions195221
Completion %61.1%70.4%
Yards2,2182,837
Yards / Attempt7.09.0
Touchdowns1527
Interceptions107
Passer Rating128.78170.19
Total Offense
Plays754809
Yards3,8905,835
Yards / Play5.27.2
Yards / Game324.2486.3
Punt Returns
Returns815
Yards108210
Average13.514.0
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns249
Yards553114
Average23.012.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5328
Yards2,0661,219
Average39.043.5
Interception Returns
Returns710
Yards14684
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles1018
Lost39
Penalties
Penalties4966
Yards404559
Yards / Game33.746.6
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4729:09
Third Downs
Attempts164141
Conversions5977
Conversion %36.0%54.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3018
Conversions1111
Conversion %36.7%61.1%
Red Zone
Trips4058
Scores (TD + FG)2953
Score %72.5%91.4%
Touchdowns2547
TD %62.5%81.0%
Field Goals
Attempts1513
Made910
Pct60.0%76.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2768
Made2668
Pct96.3%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts50
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →