Fourth Down Data
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BC

Boston College

EaglesBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference0-1#96 (-3.68)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

30· DOverall
Offense
24· DRating
25· DPer play
35· DConsistency
79· BBig plays
Defense
50· CRating
24· DPer play
13· FConsistency
Situational
14· FRed-zone O
19· DRed-zone D
62· C3rd down O
43· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.002
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.005
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.092
Defensive EPA/play
+0.089
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.6%
Def Success Rate
52.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.181
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.70

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.01
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.48
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.46
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.19
own return game
Return Defense
+0.11
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Boston College ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
46th
Opp-adjusted defense
49th
Offensive EPA/play
25th
Defensive EPA/play
25th
Offensive success rate
41th
Explosiveness
80th
Defensive havoc
6th
Points per drive
9th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Hawai'i2022OA -0.087 / -0.155similar: havoc rate, defensive success rate, run defense3262San José State2025OA -0.049 / -0.102similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, havoc rate3193Syracuse2017OA +0.047 / +0.009similar: rushing offense, takeaway rate, passing offense3054Stanford2024OA -0.041 / -0.020similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, defensive success rate3015Ball State2026OA -0.028 / -0.057similar: run defense, takeaway rate, turnover rate300

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Cincinnati15-34L+7.0L51.5U
2vs Rutgers------
3vs Maine------
4vs Virginia Tech------
5@ SMU------
7vs Pittsburgh------
8@ Georgia Tech------
9@ Duke------
10vs Florida State------
11@ Notre Dame------
12vs Syracuse------
13@ Miami------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off31thRush Off60thRed Zone Off14th3rd Down Off63thPass Def45thRush Def15thRed Zone Def20th3rd Down Def44th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.00641th+0.08922th
Red Zone-0.44214th+0.54920th
Third Down+0.24063th-0.03144th
No Garbage Time-0.09225th+0.08923th
First Half-0.12426th-0.01039th
Second Half+0.09758th+0.16823th
Early Downs+0.07962th+0.16816th
Passing Downs-0.14631th+0.00545th
Standard Downs+0.08260th+0.13615th
Goal to Go-0.8103th+0.50543th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.9%Rush 52.1%
Havoc/Game
5.0
Havoc Rate
7.7%
TO Margin
-2.0
Explosive/G
19.0
Yards/Game
388.0
Pts/Drive
0.70
3rd Down%
30.8%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Boston College vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatBoston CollegeOpponents
Scoring
Points1534
Points / Game15.034.0
First Downs
Total2417
Rushing1111
Passing105
Penalty31
Rushing
Attempts3846
Yards165254
Yards / Carry4.35.5
Yards / Game165.0254.0
Touchdowns13
Passing
Attempts3515
Completions1811
Completion %51.4%73.3%
Yards22385
Yards / Attempt6.45.7
Touchdowns11
Interceptions10
Passer Rating108.66142.93
Total Offense
Plays7361
Yards388339
Yards / Play5.35.6
Yards / Game388.0339.0
Punt Returns
Returns22
Yards412
Average2.06.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns20
Yards180
Average9.0—
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts44
Yards178209
Average44.552.3
Interception Returns
Returns01
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles33
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties77
Yards3769
Yards / Game37.069.0
Time of Possession
Per Game31:1928:41
Third Downs
Attempts1312
Conversions45
Conversion %30.8%41.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts41
Conversions11
Conversion %25.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips34
Scores (TD + FG)14
Score %33.3%100.0%
Touchdowns14
TD %33.3%100.0%
Field Goals
Attempts12
Made02
Pct0.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts14
Made14
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →