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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsRun-Heavy
Atlantic Coast Conference3-7#109 (-6.14)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

15· DOverall
Offense
15· DRating
26· DPer play
36· DConsistency
69· CBig plays
Defense
24· DRating
45· CPer play
24· DConsistency
Situational
17· DRed-zone O
69· CRed-zone D
67· C3rd down O
25· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.026
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.011
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.052
Defensive EPA/play
+0.041
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.2%
Def Success Rate
50.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.093
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.063
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.79

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.32
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.89
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.99
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.30
own return game
Return Defense
+0.08
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#109
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#95
market 14 higher
Recruiting Rank
#24
recruiting 85 spots higher
6 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
22th
Opp-adjusted defense
41th
Offensive EPA/play
26th
Defensive EPA/play
46th
Offensive success rate
44th
Explosiveness
69th
Defensive havoc
33th
Points per drive
22th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Tulsa2018OA -0.122 / -0.008similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3652Colorado State2024OA -0.029 / +0.001similar: run defense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3453Tulane2021OA +0.011 / -0.020similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, TD drive rate3414Rice2022OA -0.041 / -0.043similar: havoc rate, takeaway rate, turnover rate3395Syracuse2023OA -0.019 / +0.045similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, offensive success rate334

2020 Schedule & Results

10 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
2@ Florida State16-13W+12.5W54.5U
3vs UCF21-49L+7.5L62.5O
4@ Syracuse20-37L-8.0L52.5O
6vs Louisville46-27W----
7vs Clemson7-73L+27.3L63.5O
8@ Boston College27-48L+3.5L54.5O
9vs Notre Dame13-31L+20.0W57.5U
13vs Duke56-33W0.0W58O
14@ NC State13-23L+7.5L55U
15vs Pittsburgh20-34L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-6
40.0%
O/U Record
6-4
60.0%
Straight Up
3-7
30.0%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS1-3
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS4-5
Last 5 ATS
LWWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off50thRush Off21thRed Zone Off17th3rd Down Off68thPass Def41thRush Def51thRed Zone Def70th3rd Down Def25th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.03434th+0.04543th
Red Zone-0.16017th-0.09270th
Third Down+0.18668th+0.20425th
No Garbage Time-0.03233th+0.04842th
First Half-0.11618th+0.11620th
Second Half+0.05261th-0.03968th
Early Downs-0.1279th+0.00157th
Passing Downs+0.03150th+0.08741th
Standard Downs-0.07021th+0.02351th
Goal to Go+0.17870th+0.03253th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 41.0%Rush 59.0%
Havoc/Game
13.4
Havoc Rate
16.6%
TO Margin
-0.7
Explosive/G
15.7
Yards/Game
389.9
Pts/Drive
1.79
3rd Down%
41.1%
3&Out%
19.7%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 10 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points239368
Points / Game23.936.8
First Downs
Total199241
Rushing99101
Passing85117
Penalty1523
Rushing
Attempts408428
Yards1,9081,892
Yards / Carry4.74.4
Yards / Game190.8189.2
Touchdowns1821
Passing
Attempts283356
Completions152209
Completion %53.7%58.7%
Yards1,9912,701
Yards / Attempt7.07.6
Touchdowns1422
Interceptions136
Passer Rating119.94139.46
Total Offense
Plays691784
Yards3,8994,593
Yards / Play5.65.9
Yards / Game389.9459.3
Punt Returns
Returns168
Yards6583
Average4.110.4
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2133
Yards403686
Average19.220.8
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4837
Yards2,2851,636
Average47.644.2
Interception Returns
Returns613
Yards83259
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles2318
Lost1212
Penalties
Penalties8970
Yards749642
Yards / Game74.964.2
Time of Possession
Per Game27:0532:52
Third Downs
Attempts146152
Conversions6071
Conversion %41.1%46.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2523
Conversions911
Conversion %36.0%47.8%
Red Zone
Trips3048
Scores (TD + FG)2041
Score %66.7%85.4%
Touchdowns1729
TD %56.7%60.4%
Field Goals
Attempts817
Made315
Pct37.5%88.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2944
Made2643
Pct89.7%97.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts52
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →