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MD
Maryland
TerrapinsBalancedBig Ten Conference3-9#102 (-8.57)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
24· DOverall
Offense
19· DRating
5· FPer play
9· FConsistency
32· DBig plays
Defense
33· DRating
35· DPer play
14· FConsistency
Situational
22· DRed-zone O
66· CRed-zone D
8· F3rd down O
45· C3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.155
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.026
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.182
Defensive EPA/play
+0.038
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.3%
Def Success Rate
50.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.220
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.202
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.68
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+1.48
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.17
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+1.37
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.21
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#102
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#26
recruiting 76 spots higher
18 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Maryland ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense5th
Opp-adjusted defense40th
Offensive EPA/play5th
Defensive EPA/play35th
Offensive success rate4th
Explosiveness32th
Defensive havoc24th
Points per drive19th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Georgia Tech2019OA -0.075 / -0.064similar: passing offense, pass defense, offensive EPA4222Rutgers2017OA -0.112 / +0.007similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, pass defense4053South Alabama2019OA -0.148 / -0.021similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, defensive EPA3864Bowling Green2019OA -0.182 / -0.074similar: passing offense, defensive success rate, offensive EPA3665Northwestern2021OA -0.108 / +0.022similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, offensive EPA365
2019 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Howard | 79-0 | W | -29.0 | W | 65.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Syracuse | 63-20 | W | -1.0 | W | 59 | O |
| 3 | @ Temple | 17-20 | L | -5.0 | L | 66 | U |
| 5 | vs Penn State | 0-59 | L | +6.5 | L | 62 | U |
| 6 | @ Rutgers | 48-7 | W | -14.0 | W | 55.5 | U |
| 7 | @ Purdue | 14-40 | L | -4.0 | L | 52 | O |
| 8 | vs Indiana | 28-34 | L | +6.5 | W | 59.5 | O |
| 9 | @ Minnesota | 10-52 | L | +14.0 | L | 59 | O |
| 10 | vs Michigan | 7-38 | L | +22.0 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 11 | @ Ohio State | 14-73 | L | +43.5 | L | 66 | O |
| 13 | vs Nebraska | 7-54 | L | +7.0 | L | 63 | U |
| 14 | @ Michigan State | 16-19 | L | +22.0 | W | 47 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS3-2
Underdog ATS2-5
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.152 | 9th | +0.012 | 43th |
| Red Zone | -0.174 | 22th | -0.080 | 67th |
| Third Down | -0.226 | 8th | +0.046 | 46th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.175 | 6th | +0.013 | 46th |
| First Half | -0.187 | 4th | +0.013 | 46th |
| Second Half | -0.108 | 19th | +0.010 | 48th |
| Early Downs | -0.132 | 9th | -0.008 | 58th |
| Passing Downs | -0.108 | 23th | +0.012 | 44th |
| Standard Downs | -0.179 | 4th | +0.012 | 43th |
| Goal to Go | -0.352 | 12th | +0.072 | 29th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 44.6%Rush 55.4%
Havoc/Game
12.6
Havoc Rate
16.0%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
9.6
Yards/Game
343.4
Pts/Drive
1.68
3rd Down%
32.1%
3&Out%
27.8%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 12 games — Maryland vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Maryland | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 303 | 416 |
| Points / Game | 25.3 | 34.7 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 201 | 276 |
| Rushing | 93 | 122 |
| Passing | 87 | 137 |
| Penalty | 21 | 17 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 425 | 501 |
| Yards | 2,033 | 2,135 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Yards / Game | 169.4 | 177.9 |
| Touchdowns | 23 | 27 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 342 | 405 |
| Completions | 172 | 264 |
| Completion % | 50.3% | 65.2% |
| Yards | 2,088 | 3,255 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.1 | 8.0 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 10 |
| Passer Rating | 110.00 | 146.50 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 767 | 906 |
| Yards | 4,121 | 5,390 |
| Yards / Play | 5.4 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 343.4 | 449.2 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 17 |
| Yards | 123 | 68 |
| Average | 13.7 | 4.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 45 | 42 |
| Yards | 1,023 | 885 |
| Average | 22.7 | 21.1 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 75 | 58 |
| Yards | 3,025 | 2,280 |
| Average | 40.3 | 39.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 10 | 12 |
| Yards | 94 | 172 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 13 | 14 |
| Lost | 9 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 70 | 71 |
| Yards | 585 | 640 |
| Yards / Game | 48.8 | 53.3 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 25:45 | 34:15 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 168 | 180 |
| Conversions | 54 | 78 |
| Conversion % | 32.1% | 43.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 26 | 18 |
| Conversions | 8 | 8 |
| Conversion % | 30.8% | 44.4% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 35 | 66 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 23 | 56 |
| Score % | 65.7% | 84.8% |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 41 |
| TD % | 60.0% | 62.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 23 |
| Made | 2 | 16 |
| Pct | 40.0% | 69.6% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 42 | 51 |
| Made | 39 | 50 |
| Pct | 92.9% | 98.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.