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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsRun-Heavy
Atlantic Coast Conference3-9#103 (-8.57)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

24· DOverall
Offense
29· DRating
2· FPer play
4· FConsistency
28· DBig plays
Defense
34· DRating
28· DPer play
40· CConsistency
Situational
7· FRed-zone O
60· CRed-zone D
16· D3rd down O
30· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.075
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.064
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.206
Defensive EPA/play
+0.055
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.4%
Def Success Rate
47.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.261
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.165
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.21

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.99
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.84
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.18
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
+0.02
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#103
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#64
recruiting 39 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
20th
Opp-adjusted defense
25th
Offensive EPA/play
2th
Defensive EPA/play
28th
Offensive success rate
9th
Explosiveness
28th
Defensive havoc
16th
Points per drive
3th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Maryland2019OA -0.155 / -0.026similar: passing offense, pass defense, offensive EPA4222Northern Illinois2025OA -0.147 / -0.067similar: TD drive rate, takeaway rate, passing offense3853Bowling Green2019OA -0.182 / -0.074similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, offensive EPA3794Rutgers2017OA -0.112 / +0.007similar: pass defense, passing offense, offensive EPA3785Northwestern2021OA -0.108 / +0.022similar: offensive success rate, rushing offense, TD drive rate377

2019 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Clemson14-52L+37.0L60.5O
2vs South Florida14-10W-5.0L59U
3vs The Citadel24-27L-25.5L58.5U
5@ Temple2-24L+9.5L47.5U
6vs North Carolina22-38L+9.5L47O
7@ Duke23-41L+17.5L47.5O
8@ Miami28-21W+18.0W46O
10vs Pittsburgh10-20L+9.5L44U
11@ Virginia28-33L+15.5W46.5O
12vs Virginia Tech0-45L+6.0L51U
13vs NC State28-26W+2.5W46.5O
14vs Georgia7-52L+29.0L46.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
3-9
25.0%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS1-6
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS3-7
Last 5 ATS
LWLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off6thRush Off9thRed Zone Off7th3rd Down Off16thPass Def62thRush Def16thRed Zone Def60th3rd Down Def31th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1618th+0.03634th
Red Zone-0.3077th-0.04760th
Third Down-0.16216th+0.11431th
No Garbage Time-0.1892th+0.05531th
First Half-0.1933th+0.04831th
Second Half-0.12817th+0.02141th
Early Downs-0.08719th+0.06319th
Passing Downs-0.1986th-0.05062th
Standard Downs-0.1389th+0.07616th
Goal to Go-0.8110th-0.29483th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 37.5%Rush 62.5%
Havoc/Game
11.6
Havoc Rate
15.5%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
11.3
Yards/Game
286.3
Pts/Drive
1.21
3rd Down%
30.1%
3&Out%
38.0%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 12 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points200389
Points / Game16.732.4
First Downs
Total181271
Rushing99143
Passing63106
Penalty1922
Rushing
Attempts448539
Yards1,8292,583
Yards / Carry4.14.8
Yards / Game152.4215.3
Touchdowns1227
Passing
Attempts269331
Completions124200
Completion %46.1%60.4%
Yards1,6072,492
Yards / Attempt6.07.5
Touchdowns1418
Interceptions107
Passer Rating106.02137.38
Total Offense
Plays717870
Yards3,4365,075
Yards / Play4.85.8
Yards / Game286.3422.9
Punt Returns
Returns1630
Yards76343
Average4.811.4
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns3423
Yards715481
Average21.020.9
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts8147
Yards3,5831,957
Average44.241.6
Interception Returns
Returns710
Yards65171
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles1819
Lost109
Penalties
Penalties5760
Yards493524
Yards / Game41.143.7
Time of Possession
Per Game26:4333:17
Third Downs
Attempts163177
Conversions4980
Conversion %30.1%45.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1719
Conversions813
Conversion %47.1%68.4%
Red Zone
Trips2862
Scores (TD + FG)1748
Score %60.7%77.4%
Touchdowns1536
TD %53.6%58.1%
Field Goals
Attempts823
Made316
Pct37.5%69.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2447
Made2347
Pct95.8%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts32
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →