Fourth Down Data
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IU

Indiana

HoosiersRun-Heavy
Big Ten Conference1-0#46 (+4.49)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

66· COverall
Offense
93· ARating
88· BPer play
36· DConsistency
82· BBig plays
Defense
22· DRating
15· DPer play
21· DConsistency
Situational
69· CRed-zone O
27· DRed-zone D
80· B3rd down O
14· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.042
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.063
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.305
Defensive EPA/play
+0.157
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.8%
Def Success Rate
46.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.148
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.43

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.99
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.13
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.57
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.29
own return game
Return Defense
-0.00
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Indiana ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
82th
Opp-adjusted defense
9th
Offensive EPA/play
89th
Defensive EPA/play
15th
Offensive success rate
49th
Explosiveness
82th
Defensive havoc
32th
Points per drive
90th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Ohio2019OA +0.101 / -0.101similar: offensive EPA, defensive success rate, havoc rate3662North Carolina2020OA +0.097 / -0.025similar: passing offense, turnover rate, takeaway rate3563NC State2025OA +0.056 / -0.039similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, turnover rate3474Tennessee2021OA +0.148 / -0.029similar: run defense, TD drive rate, pass defense3465North Texas2022OA +0.077 / -0.108similar: offensive EPA, run defense, defensive EPA339

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs North Texas52-16W-40.0L56.5O
2vs Howard------
3vs Western Kentucky------
4vs Northwestern------
5@ Rutgers------
6@ Nebraska------
7vs Ohio State------
8@ Michigan------
9vs Minnesota------
11vs USC------
12@ Washington------
13vs Purdue------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off83thRush Off96thRed Zone Off70th3rd Down Off81thPass Def16thRush Def49thRed Zone Def28th3rd Down Def15th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.41899th+0.07823th
Red Zone+0.30070th+0.35028th
Third Down+0.63681th+0.50915th
No Garbage Time+0.30589th+0.15716th
First Half+0.28682th+0.00536th
Second Half+0.53898th+0.16224th
Early Downs+0.39698th+0.00136th
Passing Downs+0.45583th+0.37716th
Standard Downs+0.39896th-0.10149th
Goal to Go+0.32950th+2.8381th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 34.8%Rush 65.2%
Havoc/Game
10.0
Havoc Rate
14.9%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
10.0
Yards/Game
365.0
Pts/Drive
5.43
3rd Down%
55.6%
3&Out%
14.3%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Indiana vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatIndianaOpponents
Scoring
Points5216
Points / Game52.016.0
First Downs
Total1819
Rushing55
Passing1112
Penalty22
Rushing
Attempts3038
Yards134152
Yards / Carry4.54.0
Yards / Game134.0152.0
Touchdowns31
Passing
Attempts1629
Completions1323
Completion %81.3%79.3%
Yards231215
Yards / Attempt14.47.4
Touchdowns40
Interceptions01
Passer Rating285.02134.69
Total Offense
Plays4667
Yards365367
Yards / Play7.95.5
Yards / Game365.0367.0
Punt Returns
Returns10
Yards360
Average36.0—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns51
Yards13916
Average27.816.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts12
Yards4078
Average40.039.0
Interception Returns
Returns10
Yards310
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles00
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties59
Yards4879
Yards / Game48.079.0
Time of Possession
Per Game22:3837:22
Third Downs
Attempts915
Conversions56
Conversion %55.6%40.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts23
Conversions21
Conversion %100.0%33.3%
Red Zone
Trips43
Scores (TD + FG)43
Score %100.0%100.0%
Touchdowns41
TD %100.0%33.3%
Field Goals
Attempts14
Made13
Pct100.0%75.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts71
Made71
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →