Fourth Down Data
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DEL

Delaware

Blue HensPass-Heavy
Conference USA1-0#59 (+2.54)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

57· COverall
Offense
44· CRating
69· CPer play
50· CConsistency
77· BBig plays
Defense
81· BRating
84· BPer play
78· BConsistency
Situational
66· CRed-zone O
69· CRed-zone D
68· C3rd down O
82· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.013
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.046
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.203
Defensive EPA/play
-0.428
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.8%
Def Success Rate
32.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.631
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.00

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.92
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.34
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.27
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.30
own return game
Return Defense
-0.02
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Delaware ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
57th
Opp-adjusted defense
79th
Offensive EPA/play
69th
Defensive EPA/play
85th
Offensive success rate
32th
Explosiveness
78th
Defensive havoc
78th
Points per drive
69th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Baylor2019OA +0.062 / +0.147similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, havoc rate3482Florida Atlantic2019OA +0.030 / +0.087similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, TD drive rate3453Iowa2018OA +0.039 / +0.179similar: havoc rate, takeaway rate, passing offense3424Louisiana Tech2019OA -0.057 / +0.033similar: takeaway rate, defensive EPA, run defense3415James Madison2024OA -0.011 / +0.047similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, defensive EPA339

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Merrimack42-7W-28.5W55.5U
2@ Vanderbilt------
3vs Coastal Carolina------
4@ Virginia------
5vs Liberty------
7@ Middle Tennessee------
8vs Missouri State------
9@ Western Kentucky------
10@ Kennesaw State------
11vs Florida International------
12@ New Mexico State------
13vs Jacksonville State------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off42thRush Off49thRed Zone Off67th3rd Down Off69thPass Def77thRush Def76thRed Zone Def70th3rd Down Def83th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.02244th-0.27782th
Red Zone+0.29067th-0.42770th
Third Down+0.38269th-0.58683th
No Garbage Time+0.20372th-0.42889th
First Half+0.16864th-0.42885th
Second Half-0.11332th-0.13457th
Early Downs+0.01345th-0.25675th
Passing Downs-0.02042th-0.28677th
Standard Downs+0.04449th-0.26876th
Goal to Go-0.12929th+1.8438th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 60.3%Rush 39.7%
Havoc/Game
19.0
Havoc Rate
26.8%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
12.0
Yards/Game
547.0
Pts/Drive
4.00
3rd Down%
46.2%
3&Out%
14.3%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Delaware vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatDelawareOpponents
Scoring
Points427
Points / Game42.07.0
First Downs
Total2713
Rushing81
Passing1810
Penalty12
Rushing
Attempts2925
Yards11248
Yards / Carry3.91.9
Yards / Game112.048.0
Touchdowns31
Passing
Attempts4445
Completions2421
Completion %54.5%46.7%
Yards435181
Yards / Attempt9.94.0
Touchdowns30
Interceptions11
Passer Rating155.5576.01
Total Offense
Plays7370
Yards547229
Yards / Play7.53.3
Yards / Game547.0229.0
Punt Returns
Returns30
Yards130
Average4.3—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns25
Yards34101
Average17.020.2
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts47
Yards168310
Average42.044.3
Interception Returns
Returns11
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles21
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties47
Yards4555
Yards / Game45.055.0
Time of Possession
Per Game27:5932:01
Third Downs
Attempts1316
Conversions64
Conversion %46.2%25.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts13
Conversions11
Conversion %100.0%33.3%
Red Zone
Trips62
Scores (TD + FG)51
Score %83.3%50.0%
Touchdowns51
TD %83.3%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts21
Made00
Pct0.0%0.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts61
Made61
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →