Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersPass-Heavy
Conference USA0-1#74 (+0.24)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

46· COverall
Offense
35· DRating
7· FPer play
47· CConsistency
44· CBig plays
Defense
64· CRating
66· CPer play
55· CConsistency
Situational
2· FRed-zone O
53· CRed-zone D
22· D3rd down O
62· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.068
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.058
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.312
Defensive EPA/play
-0.214
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.0%
Def Success Rate
41.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.098
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.00

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.47
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.04
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.41
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
+0.08
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
11th
Opp-adjusted defense
87th
Offensive EPA/play
7th
Defensive EPA/play
67th
Offensive success rate
50th
Explosiveness
45th
Defensive havoc
45th
Points per drive
15th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1San José State2021OA -0.188 / +0.025similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, run defense3562TCU2018OA -0.079 / +0.129similar: rushing offense, run defense, passing offense3513Virginia2022OA -0.103 / +0.066similar: run defense, turnover rate, passing offense3374Middle Tennessee2017OA -0.076 / -0.008similar: takeaway rate, rushing offense, pass defense3265Florida State2018OA -0.108 / +0.043similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, run defense314

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ South Florida9-19L+14.5W53U
2vs Buffalo------
3@ Florida Atlantic------
4vs LIU------
6vs New Mexico State------
7@ Jacksonville State------
8vs Middle Tennessee------
9@ Liberty------
10vs Missouri State------
11@ Delaware------
12@ Kennesaw State------
13vs Sam Houston------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS1-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off23thRush Off4thRed Zone Off2th3rd Down Off22thPass Def59thRush Def73thRed Zone Def54th3rd Down Def63th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.3126th-0.21471th
Red Zone-1.2332th-0.16154th
Third Down-0.28422th-0.20363th
No Garbage Time-0.3126th-0.21468th
First Half-0.22515th-0.24372th
Second Half-0.3846th-0.18765th
Early Downs-0.4211th-0.09750th
Passing Downs-0.19223th-0.15859th
Standard Downs-0.3884th-0.25273th
Goal to Go-0th-0.52785th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 66.7%Rush 33.3%
Havoc/Game
10.0
Havoc Rate
17.5%
TO Margin
-3.0
Explosive/G
17.0
Yards/Game
381.0
Pts/Drive
1.00
3rd Down%
29.4%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points919
Points / Game9.019.0
First Downs
Total1914
Rushing47
Passing147
Penalty10
Rushing
Attempts2538
Yards80108
Yards / Carry3.22.8
Yards / Game80.0108.0
Touchdowns01
Passing
Attempts5018
Completions3111
Completion %62.0%61.1%
Yards301100
Yards / Attempt6.05.6
Touchdowns10
Interceptions20
Passer Rating111.17107.78
Total Offense
Plays7556
Yards381208
Yards / Play5.13.7
Yards / Game381.0208.0
Punt Returns
Returns20
Yards130
Average6.5—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns10
Yards30
Average3.0—
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts24
Yards79189
Average39.547.3
Interception Returns
Returns02
Yards025
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles20
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties84
Yards5030
Yards / Game50.030.0
Time of Possession
Per Game29:5130:09
Third Downs
Attempts1713
Conversions55
Conversion %29.4%38.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts70
Conversions30
Conversion %42.9%—
Red Zone
Trips24
Scores (TD + FG)24
Score %100.0%100.0%
Touchdowns11
TD %50.0%25.0%
Field Goals
Attempts14
Made14
Pct100.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts01
Made01
Pct—100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →