Fourth Down Data
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WSU

Washington State

CougarsBalanced
Pac-12 Conference0-1#75 (+0.16)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

46· COverall
Offense
33· DRating
17· DPer play
19· DConsistency
5· FBig plays
Defense
69· CRating
48· CPer play
48· CConsistency
Situational
42· CRed-zone O
68· CRed-zone D
17· D3rd down O
51· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.023
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.025
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.172
Defensive EPA/play
-0.048
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.1%
Def Success Rate
42.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
14.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
17.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.124
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.91

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.44
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.23
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.09
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.13
own return game
Return Defense
+0.00
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Washington State ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
29th
Opp-adjusted defense
66th
Offensive EPA/play
17th
Defensive EPA/play
48th
Offensive success rate
19th
Explosiveness
5th
Defensive havoc
2th
Points per drive
14th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Rutgers2018OA -0.171 / -0.005similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, turnover rate3582Old Dominion2021OA -0.103 / -0.001similar: turnover rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3583Northwestern2021OA -0.108 / +0.022similar: TD drive rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA3504Eastern Michigan2023OA -0.162 / -0.059similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, run defense3485Northern Illinois2026OA -0.089 / -0.010similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, run defense344

2026 Schedule & Results

11 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Washington10-24L+24.0W51.5U
2@ Kansas State------
3vs Duquesne------
4vs Arizona------
5vs Fresno State------
6@ Utah State------
7@ Oregon State------
8vs Boise State------
9@ San Diego State------
11vs Colorado State------
12@ Texas State------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS1-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off7thRush Off42thRed Zone Off42th3rd Down Off17thPass Def64thRush Def33thRed Zone Def69th3rd Down Def51th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.17216th-0.04850th
Red Zone-0.04442th-0.39269th
Third Down-0.37517th-0.12351th
No Garbage Time-0.17217th-0.04847th
First Half-0.6393th-0.16757th
Second Half+0.15366th+0.12528th
Early Downs+0.04755th+0.2727th
Passing Downs-0.4747th-0.19664th
Standard Downs-0.00542th+0.00933th
Goal to Go-0th-0.69391th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.6%Rush 55.4%
Havoc/Game
4.0
Havoc Rate
6.0%
TO Margin
-3.0
Explosive/G
8.0
Yards/Game
242.0
Pts/Drive
0.91
3rd Down%
0.0%
3&Out%
18.2%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Washington State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatWashington StateOpponents
Scoring
Points1024
Points / Game10.024.0
First Downs
Total1820
Rushing57
Passing911
Penalty42
Rushing
Attempts3129
Yards100134
Yards / Carry3.24.6
Yards / Game100.0134.0
Touchdowns12
Passing
Attempts2535
Completions1624
Completion %64.0%68.6%
Yards142268
Yards / Attempt5.77.7
Touchdowns01
Interceptions20
Passer Rating95.71142.32
Total Offense
Plays5664
Yards242402
Yards / Play4.36.3
Yards / Game242.0402.0
Punt Returns
Returns12
Yards527
Average5.013.5
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns12
Yards-245
Average-2.022.5
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts44
Yards183203
Average45.850.8
Interception Returns
Returns02
Yards013
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles21
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties612
Yards50130
Yards / Game50.0130.0
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4429:16
Third Downs
Attempts912
Conversions04
Conversion %0.0%33.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts12
Conversions10
Conversion %100.0%0.0%
Red Zone
Trips26
Scores (TD + FG)14
Score %50.0%66.7%
Touchdowns13
TD %50.0%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts32
Made11
Pct33.3%50.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts13
Made13
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →