← All Teams
RUTG
Rutgers
Scarlet KnightsBalancedBig Ten Conference1-11#117 (-8.50)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
12· FOverall
Offense
4· FRating
2· FPer play
3· FConsistency
4· FBig plays
Defense
26· DRating
47· CPer play
36· DConsistency
Situational
8· FRed-zone O
48· CRed-zone D
4· F3rd down O
24· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.171
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.005
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.248
Defensive EPA/play
+0.007
lower = better
Off Success Rate
39.4%
Def Success Rate
45.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.255
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.055
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.07
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.29
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.88
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.51
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.17
own return game
Return Defense
+0.09
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#117
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#47
recruiting 70 spots higher
4 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Rutgers ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense2th
Opp-adjusted defense48th
Offensive EPA/play2th
Defensive EPA/play48th
Offensive success rate5th
Explosiveness4th
Defensive havoc30th
Points per drive2th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Northern Illinois2026OA -0.089 / -0.010similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, TD drive rate4122Charlotte2023OA -0.104 / +0.014similar: takeaway rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3963Syracuse2020OA -0.111 / +0.002similar: offensive EPA, defensive EPA, TD drive rate3854Illinois2017OA -0.133 / -0.054similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, turnover rate3835UConn2021OA -0.200 / -0.127similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, offensive EPA381
2018 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Texas State | 35-7 | W | -16.5 | W | 48 | U |
| 2 | @ Ohio State | 3-52 | L | +34.5 | L | 58 | U |
| 3 | @ Kansas | 14-55 | L | +1.0 | L | 44 | O |
| 4 | vs Buffalo | 13-42 | L | +6.0 | L | 54 | O |
| 5 | vs Indiana | 17-24 | L | +14.5 | W | 50.5 | U |
| 6 | vs Illinois | 17-38 | L | +4.5 | L | 50 | O |
| 7 | @ Maryland | 7-34 | L | +23.5 | L | 51 | U |
| 8 | vs Northwestern | 15-18 | L | +20.0 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 10 | @ Wisconsin | 17-31 | L | +29.0 | W | 50.5 | U |
| 11 | vs Michigan | 7-42 | L | +36.5 | W | 45 | O |
| 12 | vs Penn State | 7-20 | L | +28.5 | W | 52.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Michigan State | 10-14 | L | +24.5 | W | 37 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
7-5
58.3%
O/U Record
4-8
33.3%
Straight Up
1-11
8.3%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS6-5
Last 5 ATS
WWWWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.233 | 1th | -0.004 | 51th |
| Red Zone | -0.262 | 8th | +0.018 | 48th |
| Third Down | -0.275 | 4th | +0.167 | 24th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.281 | 1th | +0.019 | 42th |
| First Half | -0.289 | 1th | +0.040 | 32th |
| Second Half | -0.181 | 2th | -0.059 | 74th |
| Early Downs | -0.253 | 2th | -0.066 | 70th |
| Passing Downs | -0.240 | 4th | +0.094 | 31th |
| Standard Downs | -0.228 | 2th | -0.054 | 69th |
| Goal to Go | -0.303 | 8th | +0.096 | 49th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 45.5%Rush 54.5%
Havoc/Game
12.2
Havoc Rate
17.0%
TO Margin
-1.2
Explosive/G
9.8
Yards/Game
266.3
Pts/Drive
1.07
3rd Down%
32.4%
3&Out%
35.5%
Team Statistics
2018 season totals across 12 games — Rutgers vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Rutgers | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 162 | 377 |
| Points / Game | 13.5 | 31.4 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 182 | 254 |
| Rushing | 86 | 115 |
| Passing | 72 | 112 |
| Penalty | 24 | 27 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 421 | 491 |
| Yards | 1,609 | 2,578 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Yards / Game | 134.1 | 214.8 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 25 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 351 | 354 |
| Completions | 171 | 197 |
| Completion % | 48.7% | 55.6% |
| Yards | 1,586 | 2,240 |
| Yards / Attempt | 4.5 | 6.3 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 21 |
| Interceptions | 22 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 78.84 | 123.29 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 772 | 845 |
| Yards | 3,195 | 4,818 |
| Yards / Play | 4.1 | 5.7 |
| Yards / Game | 266.3 | 401.5 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 24 |
| Yards | 55 | 146 |
| Average | 5.0 | 6.1 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 31 | 20 |
| Yards | 583 | 328 |
| Average | 18.8 | 16.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 78 | 59 |
| Yards | 3,333 | 2,358 |
| Average | 42.7 | 40.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 22 |
| Yards | 29 | 208 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 3 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 14 | 11 |
| Lost | 7 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 75 | 78 |
| Yards | 748 | 756 |
| Yards / Game | 62.3 | 63.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:55 | 31:05 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 173 | 185 |
| Conversions | 56 | 90 |
| Conversion % | 32.4% | 48.6% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 14 |
| Conversions | 9 | 7 |
| Conversion % | 47.4% | 50.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 27 | 43 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 20 | 35 |
| Score % | 74.1% | 81.4% |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 28 |
| TD % | 48.1% | 65.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 15 |
| Made | 9 | 11 |
| Pct | 75.0% | 73.3% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 48 |
| Made | 19 | 48 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.