Texas A&M Aggies Football Analytics

TA&M

Texas A&M

AggiesBalanced

Southeastern Conference1-0#26 (+6.28)

Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

81· BOverall

Offense

59· CRating

35· DPer play

59· CConsistency

59· CBig plays

Defense

90· A-Rating

95· APer play

88· BConsistency

Situational

63· CRed-zone O

23· D3rd down O

89· B3rd down D

How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense

-0.017

Opp-Adj Defense

+0.099

higher = better

Offensive EPA/play

-0.024

Defensive EPA/play

-0.757

lower = better

Off Success Rate

56.5%

Def Success Rate

22.5%

allowed · lower = better

Explosive Rate

24.0%

pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8

Explosive Allowed

4.8%

lower = better

Net EPA/play

+0.733

net · higher = better

Recent EPA Trend

0.000

last 3 weeks

Points / Drive

3.43

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating

+0.30

expected pts/game

Kicking

+0.18

own kicking game

Kick Defense

+0.12

vs opponent kicks

Returns

-0.09

own return game

Return Defense

+0.09

vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Texas A&M ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense

32th

Opp-adjusted defense

99th

Offensive EPA/play

35th

Defensive EPA/play

96th

Offensive success rate

84th

Explosiveness

59th

Defensive havoc

75th

Points per drive

60th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1LSU2026OA -0.005 / +0.116similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, defensive EPA412 2Northwestern2017OA -0.036 / +0.113similar: takeaway rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA407 3Toledo2025OA -0.058 / +0.113similar: TD drive rate, pass defense, offensive EPA394 4Maryland2026OA -0.021 / +0.097similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, run defense392 5Auburn2019OA -0.022 / +0.217similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, offensive EPA383

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

Wk	Opponent	Score	W/L	Spread	ATS	Total	O/U
1	vs Missouri State	50-0	W	-40.5	W	53.5	U
2	vs Arizona State	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	vs Kentucky	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	@ LSU	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	vs Arkansas	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	@ Missouri	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	vs The Citadel	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	@ Alabama	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	@ South Carolina	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	vs Tennessee	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	@ Oklahoma	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	vs Texas	-	-	-	-	-	-

Betting Profile

ATS Record

1-0

100.0%

O/U Record

0-1

0.0%

Straight Up

1-0

100.0%

Home ATS1-0

Away ATS0-0

Favorite ATS1-0

Underdog ATS0-0

Last 5 ATS

Full ATS log & splits →

Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Situation	OFF EPA	OFF Rank	DEF EPA	DEF Rank
Overall	+0.050	47th	-0.686	100th
Red Zone	+0.235	64th	-	0th
Third Down	-0.247	23th	-0.772	90th
No Garbage Time	+0.027	42th	-0.768	99th
First Half	-0.109	28th	-0.757	97th
Second Half	+0.185	71th	-0.608	97th
Early Downs	+0.064	58th	-0.493	94th
Passing Downs	-0.199	20th	-0.909	100th
Standard Downs	+0.137	74th	-0.504	96th
Goal to Go	+0.716	82th	-	0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.7%Rush 55.3%

Havoc/Game

11.0

Havoc Rate

26.2%

TO Margin

+1.0

Explosive/G

12.0

Yards/Game

505.0

Pts/Drive

3.43

3rd Down%

50.0%

3&Out%

14.3%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Texas A&M vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.

Stat	Texas A&M	Opponents
Scoring
Points	50	0
Points / Game	50.0	0.0
First Downs
Total	35	4
Rushing	17	2
Passing	16	1
Penalty	2	1
Rushing
Attempts	47	23
Yards	236	37
Yards / Carry	5.0	1.6
Yards / Game	236.0	37.0
Touchdowns	3	0
Passing
Attempts	38	17
Completions	25	8
Completion %	65.8%	47.1%
Yards	269	30
Yards / Attempt	7.1	1.8
Touchdowns	3	0
Interceptions	0	0
Passer Rating	151.31	61.88
Total Offense
Plays	85	40
Yards	505	67
Yards / Play	5.9	1.7
Yards / Game	505.0	67.0
Punt Returns
Returns	4	1
Yards	38	-6
Average	9.5	-6.0
Touchdowns	0	0
Kickoff Returns
Returns	1	2
Yards	17	36
Average	17.0	18.0
Touchdowns	0	0
Punting
Punts	2	7
Yards	84	285
Average	42.0	40.7
Interception Returns
Returns	0	0
Yards	0	0
Touchdowns	0	0
Fumbles
Fumbles	2	3
Lost	1	2
Penalties
Penalties	8	8
Yards	75	41
Yards / Game	75.0	41.0
Time of Possession
Per Game	43:03	16:57
Third Downs
Attempts	14	10
Conversions	7	1
Conversion %	50.0%	10.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts	2	2
Conversions	2	1
Conversion %	100.0%	50.0%
Red Zone
Trips	8	0
Scores (TD + FG)	7	0
Score %	87.5%	—
Touchdowns	6	0
TD %	75.0%	—
Field Goals
Attempts	2	0
Made	2	0
Pct	100.0%	—
PAT Kicking
Attempts	6	0
Made	6	0
Pct	100.0%	—
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts	0	0
Made	0	0

Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.

Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →