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MIZ
Missouri
TigersBalancedSoutheastern Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
88· BOverall
Offense
82· BRating
72· BPer play
63· CConsistency
91· A-Big plays
Defense
88· BRating
85· BPer play
82· BConsistency
Situational
75· BRed-zone O
4· FRed-zone D
90· A-3rd down O
77· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.014
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.030
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.214
Defensive EPA/play
-0.460
lower = better
Off Success Rate
52.6%
Def Success Rate
43.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
30.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.674
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.60
Peer Context
Where Missouri ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense58th
Opp-adjusted defense70th
Offensive EPA/play73th
Defensive EPA/play86th
Offensive success rate69th
Explosiveness92th
Defensive havoc39th
Points per drive91th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1UCLA2020OA +0.029 / +0.008similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3212Mississippi State2026OA +0.028 / +0.032similar: offensive success rate, takeaway rate, offensive EPA3183Louisville2017OA +0.148 / -0.016similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, rushing offense3184Louisville2020OA +0.021 / -0.013similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, takeaway rate3165Liberty2020OA +0.052 / +0.010similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, passing offense308
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 54-14 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | @ Kansas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Troy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Mississippi State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Florida | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Texas A&M | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Ole Miss | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ Arkansas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Georgia | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Kentucky | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Oklahoma | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-0
-
O/U Record
0-0
-
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 42.3%Rush 57.7%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
16.7%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
5.60
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%