Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
UCLA

UCLA

BruinsRun-Heavy
Big Ten Conference3-4#61 (+0.49)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

53· COverall
Offense
74· BRating
78· BPer play
78· BConsistency
79· BBig plays
Defense
42· CRating
60· CPer play
53· CConsistency
Situational
89· BRed-zone O
18· DRed-zone D
84· B3rd down O
60· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.029
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.008
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.108
Defensive EPA/play
-0.002
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.4%
Def Success Rate
46.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.109
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.016
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.68

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.54
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.20
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.35
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.80
own return game
Return Defense
-0.29
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#61
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#61
model & market agree
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where UCLA ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
80th
Opp-adjusted defense
61th
Offensive EPA/play
79th
Defensive EPA/play
60th
Offensive success rate
76th
Explosiveness
80th
Defensive havoc
65th
Points per drive
80th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Florida State2025OA +0.075 / -0.008similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, run defense4572UTSA2023OA -0.019 / -0.006similar: run defense, TD drive rate, rushing offense3953Boise State2019OA +0.101 / +0.067similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, passing offense3924Oregon2017OA +0.036 / +0.077similar: turnover rate, defensive EPA, offensive success rate3785SMU2020OA +0.035 / -0.008similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, offensive success rate373

2020 Schedule & Results

7 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
10@ Colorado42-48L-6.5L55.5O
11vs California34-10W+3.5W55.5U
12@ Oregon35-38L+17.0W64O
13vs Arizona27-10W-10.5W68.75U
14@ Arizona State25-18W+3.0W55.25U
15vs USC38-43L+3.5L64O
16vs Stanford47-48L-6.5L59O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-3
57.1%
O/U Record
4-3
57.1%
Straight Up
3-4
42.9%
Home ATS2-2
Away ATS2-1
Favorite ATS1-2
Underdog ATS3-1
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off67thRush Off81thRed Zone Off90th3rd Down Off84thPass Def30thRush Def81thRed Zone Def18th3rd Down Def60th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.09878th-0.01363th
Red Zone+0.28390th+0.14118th
Third Down+0.28684th+0.01860th
No Garbage Time+0.10881th-0.00257th
First Half+0.11077th-0.05577th
Second Half+0.08675th+0.02650th
Early Downs+0.12591th-0.07479th
Passing Downs+0.12167th+0.12230th
Standard Downs+0.08781th-0.08681th
Goal to Go+0.47895th+0.01256th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 38.5%Rush 61.5%
Havoc/Game
15.3
Havoc Rate
19.9%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
18.9
Yards/Game
455.0
Pts/Drive
2.68
3rd Down%
44.3%
3&Out%
13.8%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 7 games — UCLA vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUCLAOpponents
Scoring
Points248215
Points / Game35.430.7
First Downs
Total172154
Rushing9060
Passing6886
Penalty148
Rushing
Attempts319264
Yards1,614950
Yards / Carry5.13.6
Yards / Game230.6135.7
Touchdowns1314
Passing
Attempts200263
Completions130161
Completion %65.0%61.2%
Yards1,5711,919
Yards / Attempt7.97.3
Touchdowns1813
Interceptions69
Passer Rating154.68131.98
Total Offense
Plays519527
Yards3,1852,869
Yards / Play6.15.4
Yards / Game455.0409.9
Punt Returns
Returns68
Yards7760
Average12.87.5
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1217
Yards231377
Average19.322.2
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts2530
Yards1,0341,222
Average41.440.7
Interception Returns
Returns96
Yards94127
Touchdowns11
Fumbles
Fumbles97
Lost72
Penalties
Penalties4850
Yards374410
Yards / Game53.458.6
Time of Possession
Per Game28:5231:08
Third Downs
Attempts97107
Conversions4349
Conversion %44.3%45.8%
Fourth Downs
Attempts179
Conversions73
Conversion %41.2%33.3%
Red Zone
Trips2731
Scores (TD + FG)2428
Score %88.9%90.3%
Touchdowns1923
TD %70.4%74.2%
Field Goals
Attempts713
Made67
Pct85.7%53.8%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3125
Made3024
Pct96.8%96.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts23
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →