Fourth Down Data
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KENN

Kennesaw State

OwlsRun-Heavy
Conference USA1-0#32 (+5.67)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

77· BOverall
Offense
53· CRating
59· CPer play
80· BConsistency
69· CBig plays
Defense
76· BRating
92· A-Per play
87· BConsistency
Situational
91· A-Red-zone O
58· C3rd down O
92· A-3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.008
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.063
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.114
Defensive EPA/play
-0.595
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.6%
Def Success Rate
27.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.708
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.38

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.10
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.25
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.37
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.01
own return game
Return Defense
+0.50
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Kennesaw State ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
38th
Opp-adjusted defense
89th
Offensive EPA/play
59th
Defensive EPA/play
93th
Offensive success rate
58th
Explosiveness
69th
Defensive havoc
57th
Points per drive
71th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Toledo2022OA -0.078 / +0.060similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, pass defense3582Missouri2025OA -0.020 / +0.102similar: defensive success rate, takeaway rate, run defense3513LSU2026OA -0.005 / +0.116similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, turnover rate3364Clemson2022OA +0.026 / +0.116similar: offensive EPA, run defense, offensive success rate3325Clemson2017OA +0.135 / +0.278similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, defensive success rate313

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs West Georgia47-0W-22.5W50.5U
2vs Georgia State------
3@ Tennessee------
4@ Arkansas State------
6vs Jacksonville State------
7@ Missouri State------
8vs Liberty------
9@ Middle Tennessee------
10vs Delaware------
11@ Sam Houston------
12vs Florida International------
13@ Western Kentucky------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off16thRush Off61thRed Zone Off92th3rd Down Off58thPass Def97thRush Def71thRed Zone Def0th3rd Down Def93th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.01139th-0.48098th
Red Zone+0.62892th-0th
Third Down+0.20558th-0.83693th
No Garbage Time+0.13162th-0.59496th
First Half+0.13161th-0.59493th
Second Half-0.19720th-0.36190th
Early Downs+0.02548th-0.12457th
Passing Downs-0.28916th-0.72397th
Standard Downs+0.08761th-0.24671th
Goal to Go+0.29648th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 42.0%Rush 58.0%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
21.2%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
10.0
Yards/Game
523.0
Pts/Drive
4.38
3rd Down%
50.0%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Kennesaw State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKennesaw StateOpponents
Scoring
Points470
Points / Game47.00.0
First Downs
Total317
Rushing181
Passing105
Penalty31
Rushing
Attempts4725
Yards29749
Yards / Carry6.32.0
Yards / Game297.049.0
Touchdowns60
Passing
Attempts3426
Completions2615
Completion %76.5%57.7%
Yards226111
Yards / Attempt6.64.3
Touchdowns10
Interceptions10
Passer Rating136.1393.55
Total Offense
Plays8151
Yards523160
Yards / Play6.53.1
Yards / Game523.0160.0
Punt Returns
Returns11
Yards72
Average7.02.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns13
Yards4729
Average47.09.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts410
Yards161369
Average40.336.9
Interception Returns
Returns01
Yards027
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles33
Lost12
Penalties
Penalties97
Yards6553
Yards / Game65.053.0
Time of Possession
Per Game34:0625:54
Third Downs
Attempts1412
Conversions70
Conversion %50.0%0.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts21
Conversions10
Conversion %50.0%0.0%
Red Zone
Trips40
Scores (TD + FG)40
Score %100.0%—
Touchdowns40
TD %100.0%—
Field Goals
Attempts00
Made00
Pct——
PAT Kicking
Attempts60
Made50
Pct83.3%—
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →