Fourth Down Data
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ARMY

Army

Black KnightsRun-Heavy
American Conference1-0#37 (+5.21)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

73· BOverall
Offense
74· BRating
89· BPer play
85· BConsistency
97· A+Big plays
Defense
56· CRating
64· CPer play
18· DConsistency
Situational
22· DRed-zone O
93· ARed-zone D
90· A-3rd down O
83· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.038
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.010
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.323
Defensive EPA/play
-0.203
lower = better
Off Success Rate
62.9%
Def Success Rate
43.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
34.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.527
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.17

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.35
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.01
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.06
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.17
own return game
Return Defense
+0.11
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Army ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
79th
Opp-adjusted defense
44th
Offensive EPA/play
90th
Defensive EPA/play
64th
Offensive success rate
98th
Explosiveness
98th
Defensive havoc
70th
Points per drive
87th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Georgia State2026OA +0.063 / -0.016similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, turnover rate2912Michigan2021OA +0.126 / +0.077similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, pass defense2833Buffalo2020OA +0.050 / +0.018similar: havoc rate, defensive success rate, rushing offense2824Alabama2026OA +0.051 / +0.001similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate2795Ohio2017OA +0.025 / -0.003similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, offensive success rate272

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Bryant59-3W-36.8W51.25O
2vs South Florida------
4@ Temple------
5@ Louisiana Tech------
6vs Tulane------
7vs Florida Atlantic------
8@ Tulsa------
9@ Memphis------
10vs Air Force------
12vs East Carolina------
13@ Rice------
15vs Navy------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off66thRush Off91thRed Zone Off22th3rd Down Off91thPass Def75thRush Def72thRed Zone Def93th3rd Down Def84th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.28491th-0.24780th
Red Zone-0.26622th-1.01793th
Third Down+0.89591th-0.61384th
No Garbage Time+0.32391th-0.20365th
First Half+0.32390th-0.20366th
Second Half+0.23679th-0.31484th
Early Downs+0.12872th-0.20969th
Passing Downs+0.25966th-0.24475th
Standard Downs+0.29091th-0.24972th
Goal to Go-0.8153th-1.01797th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 18.6%Rush 81.4%
Havoc/Game
13.0
Havoc Rate
24.5%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
13.0
Yards/Game
648.0
Pts/Drive
5.17
3rd Down%
66.7%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Army vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatArmyOpponents
Scoring
Points593
Points / Game59.03.0
First Downs
Total319
Rushing284
Passing24
Penalty11
Rushing
Attempts5730
Yards56967
Yards / Carry10.02.2
Yards / Game569.067.0
Touchdowns80
Passing
Attempts1323
Completions711
Completion %53.8%47.8%
Yards7998
Yards / Attempt6.14.3
Touchdowns00
Interceptions00
Passer Rating104.8983.62
Total Offense
Plays7053
Yards648165
Yards / Play9.33.1
Yards / Game648.0165.0
Punt Returns
Returns41
Yards807
Average20.07.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns17
Yards28124
Average28.017.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts19
Yards53375
Average53.041.7
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles01
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties25
Yards2536
Yards / Game25.036.0
Time of Possession
Per Game32:5827:02
Third Downs
Attempts914
Conversions63
Conversion %66.7%21.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts11
Conversions10
Conversion %100.0%0.0%
Red Zone
Trips61
Scores (TD + FG)51
Score %83.3%100.0%
Touchdowns40
TD %66.7%0.0%
Field Goals
Attempts21
Made11
Pct50.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts80
Made80
Pct100.0%—
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →