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Florida Atlantic
OwlsPass-HeavyAmerican Conference0-1
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.051
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.067
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.105
Defensive EPA/play
+0.435
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.0%
Def Success Rate
62.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
37.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.330
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.75
Peer Context
Where Florida Atlantic ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense86th
Opp-adjusted defense9th
Offensive EPA/play57th
Defensive EPA/play1th
Offensive success rate56th
Explosiveness76th
Defensive havoc10th
Points per drive31th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1UAB2025OA -0.033 / -0.164similar: offensive success rate, pass defense, defensive EPA3482Charlotte2022OA +0.026 / -0.239similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, offensive success rate3123East Carolina2017OA +0.049 / -0.255similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, run defense3084Arizona2019OA -0.007 / -0.040similar: defensive success rate, run defense, offensive success rate3055UAB2026OA +0.031 / -0.061similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, passing offense304
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Florida | 21-66 | L | +25.5 | L | 59.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Navy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Florida International | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ UL Monroe | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Texas Southern | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Army | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs Rice | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ North Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs UTSA | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Tulsa | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs South Florida | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ East Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
L
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 58.9%Rush 41.1%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
10.1%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
1.75
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
25.0%