Fourth Down Data
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TULN

Tulane

Green WaveBalanced
American Conference0-1#72 (+0.37)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

48· COverall
Offense
11· FRating
4· FPer play
3· FConsistency
3· FBig plays
Defense
95· ARating
56· CPer play
69· CConsistency
Situational
3· FRed-zone O
60· CRed-zone D
15· D3rd down O
11· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.074
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.051
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.366
Defensive EPA/play
-0.157
lower = better
Off Success Rate
28.6%
Def Success Rate
36.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
10.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.209
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.25

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.32
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.04
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.01
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
+0.26
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Tulane ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
8th
Opp-adjusted defense
83th
Offensive EPA/play
4th
Defensive EPA/play
57th
Offensive success rate
1th
Explosiveness
3th
Defensive havoc
5th
Points per drive
5th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Syracuse2020OA -0.111 / +0.002similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3662Stanford2025OA -0.085 / +0.028similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA3613Northern Illinois2026OA -0.089 / -0.010similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA3504Charlotte2023OA -0.104 / +0.014similar: passing offense, run defense, TD drive rate3425Florida State2018OA -0.108 / +0.043similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA341

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Duke3-17L+7.5L51U
2vs South Alabama------
3@ Kansas State------
4vs Southern Miss------
6@ Army------
7vs Memphis------
8vs UTSA------
9@ Charlotte------
10vs Tulsa------
11@ Rice------
12vs North Texas------
13@ South Florida------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off1thRush Off33thRed Zone Off3th3rd Down Off15thPass Def38thRush Def80thRed Zone Def60th3rd Down Def11th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.3664th-0.15761th
Red Zone-0.9223th-0.26160th
Third Down-0.43915th+0.55511th
No Garbage Time-0.3664th-0.15755th
First Half-0.22215th-0.07645th
Second Half-0.4464th-0.25075th
Early Downs-0.16319th-0.27279th
Passing Downs-0.8351th+0.04238th
Standard Downs-0.06233th-0.31580th
Goal to Go-0th-0.54387th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 53.6%Rush 46.4%
Havoc/Game
6.0
Havoc Rate
7.5%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
6.0
Yards/Game
258.0
Pts/Drive
0.25
3rd Down%
21.4%
3&Out%
33.3%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Tulane vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTulaneOpponents
Scoring
Points317
Points / Game3.017.0
First Downs
Total1020
Rushing211
Passing67
Penalty22
Rushing
Attempts2649
Yards54250
Yards / Carry2.15.1
Yards / Game54.0250.0
Touchdowns02
Passing
Attempts3028
Completions1713
Completion %56.7%46.4%
Yards204131
Yards / Attempt6.84.7
Touchdowns00
Interceptions00
Passer Rating113.7985.73
Total Offense
Plays5677
Yards258381
Yards / Play4.64.9
Yards / Game258.0381.0
Punt Returns
Returns24
Yards125
Average6.01.3
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns10
Yards240
Average24.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts74
Yards315217
Average45.054.3
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles12
Lost11
Penalties
Penalties158
Yards10953
Yards / Game109.053.0
Time of Possession
Per Game23:2536:35
Third Downs
Attempts1418
Conversions38
Conversion %21.4%44.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts24
Conversions01
Conversion %0.0%25.0%
Red Zone
Trips15
Scores (TD + FG)13
Score %100.0%60.0%
Touchdowns02
TD %0.0%40.0%
Field Goals
Attempts22
Made11
Pct50.0%50.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts02
Made02
Pct100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →