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Louisiana Tech
BulldogsRun-HeavySun Belt Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.085
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.038
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.745
Defensive EPA/play
-0.474
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.9%
Def Success Rate
39.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
40.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+1.218
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
7.00
Peer Context
Where Louisiana Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense97th
Opp-adjusted defense75th
Offensive EPA/play100th
Defensive EPA/play88th
Offensive success rate80th
Explosiveness100th
Defensive havoc96th
Points per drive99th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Notre Dame2025OA +0.212 / +0.144similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, offensive EPA4022Ohio State2024OA +0.088 / +0.071similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, offensive EPA3843Penn State2024OA +0.078 / +0.056similar: havoc rate, run defense, offensive EPA3754Indiana2024OA +0.060 / +0.030similar: havoc rate, turnover rate, passing offense3675Alabama2018OA +0.280 / +0.145similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, passing offense365
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northwestern State | 80-6 | W | -44.5 | W | 56.5 | O |
| 2 | @ LSU | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Baylor | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Army | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Louisiana | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ UL Monroe | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs Old Dominion | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ South Alabama | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Troy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Southern Miss | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Arkansas State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Georgia Southern | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 37.3%Rush 62.7%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
36.1%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
7.00
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%