Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksRun-Heavy
Southeastern Conference9-4#21 (+6.61)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

84· BOverall
Offense
69· CRating
38· DPer play
52· CConsistency
50· CBig plays
Defense
88· BRating
88· BPer play
68· CConsistency
Situational
27· DRed-zone O
95· ARed-zone D
68· C3rd down O
87· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.002
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.053
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.016
Defensive EPA/play
-0.121
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.1%
Def Success Rate
43.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.105
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.093
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.35

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.40
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.77
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.38
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.09
own return game
Return Defense
+0.12
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#21
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#19
AP 2 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#40
model 19 higher
Recruiting Rank
#22
model 1 spots higher
25 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
45th
Opp-adjusted defense
90th
Offensive EPA/play
39th
Defensive EPA/play
89th
Offensive success rate
53th
Explosiveness
51th
Defensive havoc
82th
Points per drive
60th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Toledo2025OA -0.058 / +0.113similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA4162Texas2024OA +0.011 / +0.096similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, run defense4123Michigan State2017OA +0.020 / +0.139similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, run defense3754Alabama2024OA +0.011 / +0.045similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, run defense3725Troy2022OA +0.038 / +0.141similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, passing offense367

2024 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Old Dominion23-19W-21.0L52U
2@ Kentucky31-6W+9.0W46U
3vs LSU33-36L+7.0W48O
4vs Akron50-7W-28.0W44.5O
6vs Ole Miss3-27L+9.0L53.5U
7@ Alabama25-27L+21.0W50.5O
8@ Oklahoma35-9W+2.5W41O
10vs Texas A&M44-20W+2.5W44.5O
11@ Vanderbilt28-7W-3.5W46U
12vs Missouri34-30W-12.5L44.5O
13vs Wofford56-12W-42.5W49.5O
14@ Clemson17-14W+2.5W49U
19@ Illinois17-21L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
9-4
69.2%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS5-1
Favorite ATS3-3
Underdog ATS6-1
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off28thRush Off63thRed Zone Off27th3rd Down Off69thPass Def77thRush Def93thRed Zone Def96th3rd Down Def88th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.00145th-0.12692th
Red Zone-0.10227th-0.30596th
Third Down+0.18469th-0.10588th
No Garbage Time-0.01737th-0.11588th
First Half-0.06431th-0.17694th
Second Half+0.07272th-0.07981th
Early Downs+0.01261th-0.09378th
Passing Downs-0.05228th-0.10277th
Standard Downs+0.02863th-0.13993th
Goal to Go+0.28389th-0.22484th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 38.3%Rush 61.7%
Havoc/Game
15.0
Havoc Rate
21.9%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
14.5
Yards/Game
407.8
Pts/Drive
2.35
3rd Down%
43.3%
3&Out%
18.9%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 13 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points396235
Points / Game30.518.1
First Downs
Total280235
Rushing13495
Passing125118
Penalty2122
Rushing
Attempts551454
Yards2,3971,459
Yards / Carry4.43.2
Yards / Game184.4112.2
Touchdowns2618
Passing
Attempts342397
Completions224229
Completion %65.5%57.7%
Yards2,9042,657
Yards / Attempt8.56.7
Touchdowns2110
Interceptions714
Passer Rating152.99115.16
Total Offense
Plays893851
Yards5,3014,116
Yards / Play5.94.8
Yards / Game407.8316.6
Punt Returns
Returns1818
Yards12572
Average6.94.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1624
Yards308400
Average19.316.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4865
Yards2,2772,754
Average47.442.4
Interception Returns
Returns147
Yards17373
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles2528
Lost1410
Penalties
Penalties8777
Yards754645
Yards / Game58.049.6
Time of Possession
Per Game31:0928:51
Third Downs
Attempts178177
Conversions7763
Conversion %43.3%35.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2523
Conversions127
Conversion %48.0%30.4%
Red Zone
Trips4740
Scores (TD + FG)3731
Score %78.7%77.5%
Touchdowns2720
TD %57.4%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts2117
Made1515
Pct71.4%88.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4521
Made4520
Pct100.0%95.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts47
Made21
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →