Fourth Down Data
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VT

Virginia Tech

HokiesBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.026
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.045
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.300
Defensive EPA/play
-0.610
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.6%
Def Success Rate
17.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.910
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
6.20

Peer Context

Where Virginia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
67th
Opp-adjusted defense
77th
Offensive EPA/play
88th
Defensive EPA/play
94th
Offensive success rate
78th
Explosiveness
49th
Defensive havoc
100th
Points per drive
98th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Syracuse2026OA +0.031 / +0.060similar: run defense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3532Ohio State2017OA +0.212 / +0.167similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, havoc rate3453Iowa State2020OA +0.039 / +0.038similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, passing offense3414Western Michigan2021OA +0.092 / +0.023similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, turnover rate3155Clemson2020OA +0.058 / +0.078similar: offensive EPA, havoc rate, TD drive rate311

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs VMI73-3W-54.5W59.5O
2vs Old Dominion------
3@ Maryland------
4@ Boston College------
5vs Pittsburgh------
6@ California------
7vs Georgia Tech------
8@ Clemson------
10@ SMU------
11vs Stanford------
12@ Miami------
13vs Virginia------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.4%Rush 55.6%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
46.4%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
6.20
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →