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USU
Utah State
AggiesBalancedPac-12 Conference0-1
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.122
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.085
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.234
Defensive EPA/play
-0.027
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.3%
Def Success Rate
36.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.207
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.42
Peer Context
Where Utah State ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense0th
Opp-adjusted defense4th
Offensive EPA/play10th
Defensive EPA/play43th
Offensive success rate33th
Explosiveness45th
Defensive havoc19th
Points per drive26th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Old Dominion2021OA -0.103 / -0.001similar: pass defense, offensive success rate, turnover rate3372UTEP2020OA -0.025 / -0.018similar: defensive EPA, run defense, takeaway rate3263Georgia Tech2020OA -0.026 / -0.011similar: defensive EPA, passing offense, turnover rate3124Washington State2026OA -0.023 / +0.025similar: passing offense, takeaway rate, turnover rate3065Tulsa2025OA -0.071 / -0.025similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, havoc rate306
2026 Schedule & Results
11 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Idaho State | 17-29 | L | -14.0 | L | 62.5 | U |
| 2 | @ Washington | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Utah | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Troy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Boise State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Washington State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | @ Texas State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | vs Colorado State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Fresno State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ San Diego State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Oregon State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 50.0%Rush 50.0%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
12.1%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
1.42
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
8.3%