Fourth Down Data
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UTEP

UTEP

MinersBalanced
Mountain West Conference3-5#106 (-5.56)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

18· DOverall
Offense
16· DRating
43· CPer play
22· DConsistency
43· CBig plays
Defense
17· DRating
43· CPer play
45· CConsistency
Situational
27· DRed-zone O
26· DRed-zone D
84· B3rd down O
32· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.025
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.018
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.012
Defensive EPA/play
+0.047
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.4%
Def Success Rate
48.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.058
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.055
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.08

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.55
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.84
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.13
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+1.30
own return game
Return Defense
-0.04
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#106
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#106
model & market agree
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where UTEP ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
23th
Opp-adjusted defense
30th
Offensive EPA/play
43th
Defensive EPA/play
43th
Offensive success rate
16th
Explosiveness
43th
Defensive havoc
42th
Points per drive
45th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Rice2022OA -0.041 / -0.043similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3352Middle Tennessee2017OA -0.076 / -0.008similar: defensive success rate, passing offense, turnover rate3283Georgia Tech2020OA -0.026 / -0.011similar: turnover rate, defensive EPA, havoc rate3254Utah State2026OA -0.122 / -0.084similar: defensive EPA, run defense, takeaway rate3255Marshall2017OA -0.030 / +0.016similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, turnover rate319

2020 Schedule & Results

8 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Stephen F. Austin24-14W----
2@ Texas3-59L+43.0L60.5O
3vs Abilene Christian17-13W----
4@ UL Monroe31-6W+10.0W50U
6@ Louisiana Tech17-21L+14.3W51.5U
8@ Charlotte28-38L+14.5W48.5O
11@ UTSA21-52L+7.0L45.25O
15vs North Texas43-45L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-2
66.7%
O/U Record
4-2
66.7%
Straight Up
3-5
37.5%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS3-2
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS4-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off59thRush Off15thRed Zone Off27th3rd Down Off85thPass Def47thRush Def38thRed Zone Def26th3rd Down Def33th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.02239th+0.04641th
Red Zone-0.09627th+0.10926th
Third Down+0.30085th+0.14433th
No Garbage Time-0.00248th+0.05138th
First Half+0.06163th+0.00851th
Second Half-0.11913th+0.08428th
Early Downs-0.1385th+0.00355th
Passing Downs+0.07959th+0.05947th
Standard Downs-0.08815th+0.03938th
Goal to Go+0.24680th+0.6092th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.3%Rush 55.7%
Havoc/Game
11.4
Havoc Rate
17.8%
TO Margin
-0.9
Explosive/G
14.0
Yards/Game
348.1
Pts/Drive
2.08
3rd Down%
44.0%
3&Out%
15.7%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 8 games — UTEP vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUTEPOpponents
Scoring
Points184248
Points / Game23.031.0
First Downs
Total149149
Rushing6159
Passing7175
Penalty1715
Rushing
Attempts300274
Yards1,1111,123
Yards / Carry3.74.1
Yards / Game138.9140.4
Touchdowns1614
Passing
Attempts239225
Completions126143
Completion %52.7%63.6%
Yards1,6741,927
Yards / Attempt7.08.6
Touchdowns719
Interceptions92
Passer Rating113.69161.59
Total Offense
Plays539499
Yards2,7853,050
Yards / Play5.26.1
Yards / Game348.1381.3
Punt Returns
Returns76
Yards2350
Average3.38.3
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2622
Yards668464
Average25.721.1
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts3334
Yards1,2761,334
Average38.739.2
Interception Returns
Returns29
Yards849
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1210
Lost66
Penalties
Penalties5749
Yards505468
Yards / Game63.158.5
Time of Possession
Per Game32:4127:19
Third Downs
Attempts10995
Conversions4837
Conversion %44.0%38.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1311
Conversions67
Conversion %46.2%63.6%
Red Zone
Trips2930
Scores (TD + FG)2226
Score %75.9%86.7%
Touchdowns1921
TD %65.5%70.0%
Field Goals
Attempts98
Made56
Pct55.6%75.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2333
Made2332
Pct100.0%97.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →