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LSU
LSU
TigersRun-HeavySoutheastern Conference1-0#45 (+4.54)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
67· COverall
Offense
59· CRating
43· CPer play
81· BConsistency
69· CBig plays
Defense
79· BRating
97· A+Per play
87· BConsistency
Situational
77· BRed-zone O
1· FRed-zone D
50· C3rd down O
92· A-3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.005
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.116
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.037
Defensive EPA/play
-0.779
lower = better
Off Success Rate
53.2%
Def Success Rate
33.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.816
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.43
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.51
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.06
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.31
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
-0.05
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where LSU ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense41th
Opp-adjusted defense99th
Offensive EPA/play44th
Defensive EPA/play98th
Offensive success rate71th
Explosiveness69th
Defensive havoc97th
Points per drive60th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Texas A&M2026OA -0.017 / +0.099similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, defensive EPA4122Toledo2022OA -0.078 / +0.060similar: run defense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA4103Georgia2020OA +0.011 / +0.032similar: offensive success rate, run defense, turnover rate3754Clemson2022OA +0.026 / +0.116similar: havoc rate, passing offense, rushing offense3665James Madison2025OA +0.067 / +0.099similar: havoc rate, pass defense, offensive success rate357
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Clemson | 51-10 | W | -10.0 | W | 49.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Louisiana Tech | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Ole Miss | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Texas A&M | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs McNeese State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Kentucky | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs Mississippi State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | @ Auburn | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Alabama | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Tennessee | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Arkansas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.111 | 66th | -0.444 | 96th |
| Red Zone | +0.372 | 78th | +1.782 | 1th |
| Third Down | +0.094 | 50th | -0.839 | 93th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.037 | 45th | -0.779 | 99th |
| First Half | +0.037 | 46th | -0.779 | 99th |
| Second Half | +0.201 | 74th | -0.079 | 50th |
| Early Downs | -0.041 | 36th | -0.111 | 56th |
| Passing Downs | +0.427 | 82th | -0.820 | 98th |
| Standard Downs | -0.024 | 39th | -0.151 | 60th |
| Goal to Go | +0.557 | 73th | - | 0th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 38.3%Rush 61.7%
Havoc/Game
19.0
Havoc Rate
39.6%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
13.0
Yards/Game
644.0
Pts/Drive
3.43
3rd Down%
68.8%
3&Out%
0.0%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — LSU vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | LSU | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 51 | 10 |
| Points / Game | 51.0 | 10.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 38 | 8 |
| Rushing | 20 | 4 |
| Passing | 15 | 3 |
| Penalty | 3 | 1 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 58 | 26 |
| Yards | 309 | 40 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Yards / Game | 309.0 | 40.0 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 1 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 36 | 22 |
| Completions | 22 | 14 |
| Completion % | 61.1% | 63.6% |
| Yards | 335 | 105 |
| Yards / Attempt | 9.3 | 4.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1 |
| Passer Rating | 152.06 | 94.64 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 94 | 48 |
| Yards | 644 | 145 |
| Yards / Play | 6.9 | 3.0 |
| Yards / Game | 644.0 | 145.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 0 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Average | — | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 3 |
| Yards | 18 | 65 |
| Average | 18.0 | 21.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 2 | 10 |
| Yards | 57 | 404 |
| Average | 28.5 | 40.4 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 1 |
| Yards | 30 | 2 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 6 | 5 |
| Yards | 75 | 41 |
| Yards / Game | 75.0 | 41.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 36:09 | 23:51 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 16 | 13 |
| Conversions | 11 | 1 |
| Conversion % | 68.8% | 7.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Conversions | 1 | 0 |
| Conversion % | 100.0% | — |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 4 | 1 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 4 | 1 |
| Score % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 1 |
| TD % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 1 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
| Pct | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 6 | 1 |
| Made | 6 | 1 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.