Fourth Down Data
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UGA

Georgia

BulldogsBalanced
Southeastern Conference8-2#12 (+8.67)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

90· A-Overall
Offense
80· BRating
63· CPer play
69· CConsistency
63· CBig plays
Defense
90· A-Rating
72· BPer play
68· CConsistency
Situational
20· DRed-zone O
9· FRed-zone D
74· B3rd down O
90· A-3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.011
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.032
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.048
Defensive EPA/play
-0.051
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.6%
Def Success Rate
44.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.100
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.147
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.57

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.74
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.93
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.32
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.60
own return game
Return Defense
-0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#12
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#7
AP 5 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#6
market 6 higher
Recruiting Rank
#2
recruiting 10 spots higher
77 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
63th
Opp-adjusted defense
81th
Offensive EPA/play
64th
Defensive EPA/play
73th
Offensive success rate
70th
Explosiveness
64th
Defensive havoc
80th
Points per drive
76th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Michigan2019OA +0.070 / +0.125similar: run defense, defensive success rate, defensive EPA4362Washington2018OA +0.048 / +0.106similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, offensive success rate3773Arkansas State2017OA -0.029 / +0.016similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, run defense3754LSU2026OA -0.005 / +0.116similar: offensive success rate, run defense, turnover rate3755Vanderbilt2026OA -0.036 / -0.005similar: run defense, defensive EPA, rushing offense370

2020 Schedule & Results

10 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
4@ Arkansas37-10W-27.5L52.5U
5vs Auburn27-6W-7.0W44.75U
6vs Tennessee44-21W-12.5W43O
7@ Alabama24-41L+6.3L56.5O
9@ Kentucky14-3W-17.0L42.5U
10vs Florida28-44L-3.0L52.5O
12vs Mississippi State31-24W-25.0L44.5O
13@ South Carolina45-16W-21.5W49.5O
15@ Missouri49-14W-14.0W55.5O
18@ Cincinnati24-21W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-6
40.0%
O/U Record
6-4
60.0%
Straight Up
8-2
80.0%
Home ATS2-2
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS4-5
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
LLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off55thRush Off67thRed Zone Off20th3rd Down Off75thPass Def98thRush Def42thRed Zone Def9th3rd Down Def91th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.04663th-0.06381th
Red Zone-0.12220th+0.2019th
Third Down+0.23875th-0.19091th
No Garbage Time+0.04863th-0.05375th
First Half+0.05763th+0.07334th
Second Half+0.03354th-0.21398th
Early Downs+0.05975th+0.00452th
Passing Downs+0.05155th-0.23998th
Standard Downs+0.04367th+0.03442th
Goal to Go-0.00646th-0.06667th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.8%Rush 55.2%
Havoc/Game
14.6
Havoc Rate
21.4%
TO Margin
-0.2
Explosive/G
15.5
Yards/Game
424.1
Pts/Drive
2.57
3rd Down%
45.9%
3&Out%
13.9%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 10 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgiaOpponents
Scoring
Points323200
Points / Game32.320.0
First Downs
Total209185
Rushing9857
Passing100110
Penalty1118
Rushing
Attempts377302
Yards1,742723
Yards / Carry4.62.4
Yards / Game174.272.3
Touchdowns188
Passing
Attempts306359
Completions178236
Completion %58.2%65.7%
Yards2,4992,487
Yards / Attempt8.26.9
Touchdowns1915
Interceptions119
Passer Rating140.07132.70
Total Offense
Plays683661
Yards4,2413,210
Yards / Play6.24.9
Yards / Game424.1321.0
Punt Returns
Returns174
Yards12429
Average7.37.3
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2010
Yards594168
Average29.716.8
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3755
Yards1,6772,351
Average45.342.7
Interception Returns
Returns911
Yards185108
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles1414
Lost44
Penalties
Penalties5562
Yards528440
Yards / Game52.844.0
Time of Possession
Per Game30:0829:52
Third Downs
Attempts135140
Conversions6250
Conversion %45.9%35.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1315
Conversions59
Conversion %38.5%60.0%
Red Zone
Trips3622
Scores (TD + FG)2821
Score %77.8%95.5%
Touchdowns2214
TD %61.1%63.6%
Field Goals
Attempts1714
Made1311
Pct76.5%78.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3824
Made3823
Pct100.0%95.8%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts20
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →