Fourth Down Data
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Florida Atlantic

OwlsPass-Heavy
American Conference0-1#111 (-6.10)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

20· DOverall
Offense
56· CRating
56· CPer play
45· CConsistency
75· BBig plays
Defense
4· FRating
1· FPer play
1· FConsistency
Situational
82· BRed-zone O
13· FRed-zone D
91· A-3rd down O
1· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.051
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.067
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.105
Defensive EPA/play
+0.435
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.0%
Def Success Rate
62.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
37.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.330
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.75

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.02
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.04
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.13
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.08
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Florida Atlantic ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
86th
Opp-adjusted defense
8th
Offensive EPA/play
57th
Defensive EPA/play
1th
Offensive success rate
55th
Explosiveness
76th
Defensive havoc
10th
Points per drive
31th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UAB2025OA -0.033 / -0.164similar: offensive success rate, pass defense, defensive EPA3482Charlotte2022OA +0.026 / -0.239similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, offensive success rate3123East Carolina2017OA +0.049 / -0.255similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, run defense3084Arizona2019OA -0.007 / -0.040similar: defensive success rate, run defense, offensive success rate3055UAB2026OA +0.031 / -0.061similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, passing offense304

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Florida21-66L+25.5L59.5O
2vs Navy------
3vs Florida International------
4@ UL Monroe------
5vs Texas Southern------
7@ Army------
8vs Rice------
9@ North Texas------
10vs UTSA------
11@ Tulsa------
12vs South Florida------
13@ East Carolina------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off96thRush Off31thRed Zone Off83th3rd Down Off92thPass Def12thRush Def1thRed Zone Def13th3rd Down Def1th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.15272th+0.4510th
Red Zone+0.49683th+0.64313th
Third Down+0.90392th+1.2301th
No Garbage Time+0.10560th+0.4351th
First Half+0.10557th+0.3992th
Second Half+0.23277th+0.5114th
Early Downs-0.10727th+0.3136th
Passing Downs+0.71196th+0.42612th
Standard Downs-0.07531th+0.4591th
Goal to Go-0.36917th+0.50842th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 58.9%Rush 41.1%
Havoc/Game
7.0
Havoc Rate
10.1%
TO Margin
-2.0
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
396.0
Pts/Drive
1.75
3rd Down%
50.0%
3&Out%
25.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Florida Atlantic vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida AtlanticOpponents
Scoring
Points2166
Points / Game21.066.0
First Downs
Total2530
Rushing711
Passing1614
Penalty25
Rushing
Attempts3741
Yards120281
Yards / Carry3.26.9
Yards / Game120.0281.0
Touchdowns25
Passing
Attempts5326
Completions3420
Completion %64.2%76.9%
Yards276343
Yards / Attempt5.213.2
Touchdowns14
Interceptions21
Passer Rating106.57230.82
Total Offense
Plays9067
Yards396624
Yards / Play4.49.3
Yards / Game396.0624.0
Punt Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Average——
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns10
Yards210
Average21.0—
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts30
Yards1150
Average38.3—
Interception Returns
Returns12
Yards-32
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles20
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties93
Yards8832
Yards / Game88.032.0
Time of Possession
Per Game28:2431:36
Third Downs
Attempts229
Conversions115
Conversion %50.0%55.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts72
Conversions42
Conversion %57.1%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips48
Scores (TD + FG)38
Score %75.0%100.0%
Touchdowns38
TD %75.0%100.0%
Field Goals
Attempts01
Made01
Pct—100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts39
Made39
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →