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UAB
UAB
BlazersRun-HeavyAmerican Conference0-1#84 (-1.28)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
39· DOverall
Offense
72· BRating
40· CPer play
40· CConsistency
58· CBig plays
Defense
16· DRating
1· FPer play
3· FConsistency
Situational
38· DRed-zone O
7· FRed-zone D
92· A-3rd down O
36· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.031
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.061
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.022
Defensive EPA/play
+0.391
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.6%
Def Success Rate
62.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
32.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.369
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.29
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.22
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.17
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.17
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.09
own return game
Return Defense
-0.31
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense74th
Opp-adjusted defense11th
Offensive EPA/play41th
Defensive EPA/play1th
Offensive success rate38th
Explosiveness58th
Defensive havoc1th
Points per drive42th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1North Texas2026OA +0.063 / -0.042similar: pass defense, havoc rate, TD drive rate3762East Carolina2017OA +0.049 / -0.255similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, turnover rate3463UCLA2018OA +0.036 / -0.086similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3374Texas State2021OA -0.092 / -0.137similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, TD drive rate3325Southern Miss2020OA -0.014 / -0.036similar: offensive EPA, run defense, turnover rate326
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Illinois | 23-42 | L | +27.5 | W | 55 | O |
| 2 | vs UL Monroe | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Louisiana | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Navy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Samford | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Memphis | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs East Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ South Florida | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Charlotte | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Temple | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs UTSA | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ North Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS1-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.100 | 64th | +0.391 | 2th |
| Red Zone | -0.100 | 38th | +0.910 | 7th |
| Third Down | +0.905 | 93th | +0.067 | 36th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.022 | 41th | +0.391 | 2th |
| First Half | +0.115 | 58th | +0.391 | 3th |
| Second Half | +0.081 | 53th | +0.391 | 7th |
| Early Downs | -0.173 | 18th | +0.327 | 4th |
| Passing Downs | +0.303 | 68th | +1.089 | 1th |
| Standard Downs | -0.018 | 40th | +0.180 | 10th |
| Goal to Go | -0.171 | 26th | +1.260 | 13th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 39.2%Rush 60.8%
Havoc/Game
2.0
Havoc Rate
4.5%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
16.0
Yards/Game
413.0
Pts/Drive
2.29
3rd Down%
52.6%
3&Out%
0.0%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UAB | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 23 | 42 |
| Points / Game | 23.0 | 42.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 24 | 17 |
| Rushing | 12 | 6 |
| Passing | 11 | 9 |
| Penalty | 1 | 2 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 48 | 26 |
| Yards | 194 | 150 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.0 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 194.0 | 150.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 31 | 17 |
| Completions | 18 | 13 |
| Completion % | 58.1% | 76.5% |
| Yards | 219 | 182 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.1 | 10.7 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Passer Rating | 121.60 | 224.64 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 79 | 43 |
| Yards | 413 | 332 |
| Yards / Play | 5.2 | 7.7 |
| Yards / Game | 413.0 | 332.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 1 |
| Yards | 19 | 65 |
| Average | 19.0 | 65.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 1 |
| Yards | 0 | 31 |
| Average | — | 31.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 2 | 1 |
| Yards | 97 | 42 |
| Average | 48.5 | 42.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 1 |
| Yards | 0 | 59 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 0 | 0 |
| Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 9 | 1 |
| Yards | 69 | 3 |
| Yards / Game | 69.0 | 3.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 41:03 | 18:57 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 6 |
| Conversions | 10 | 3 |
| Conversion % | 52.6% | 50.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 4 | 2 |
| Conversions | 3 | 1 |
| Conversion % | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 5 | 3 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 5 | 3 |
| Score % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 3 |
| TD % | 40.0% | 100.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 0 |
| Made | 3 | 0 |
| Pct | 100.0% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 6 |
| Made | 2 | 6 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.