South Carolina Gamecocks Football Analytics

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South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced

Southeastern Conference7-6#84 (-1.84)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

37· DOverall

Offense

18· DRating

13· FPer play

25· DConsistency

7· FBig plays

Defense

62· CRating

74· BPer play

54· CConsistency

Situational

10· FRed-zone O

76· BRed-zone D

41· C3rd down O

75· B3rd down D

How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense

-0.162

Opp-Adj Defense

+0.059

higher = better

Offensive EPA/play

-0.136

Defensive EPA/play

-0.061

lower = better

Off Success Rate

43.7%

Def Success Rate

44.8%

allowed · lower = better

Explosive Rate

20.7%

pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8

Explosive Allowed

23.4%

lower = better

Net EPA/play

-0.074

net · higher = better

Recent EPA Trend

+0.004

last 3 weeks

Points / Drive

1.73

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating

+0.57

expected pts/game

Kicking

+0.90

own kicking game

Kick Defense

-0.31

vs opponent kicks

Returns

+0.03

own return game

Return Defense

-0.05

vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank

#84

opponent-adjusted strength

AP Poll

NR

—

Market (Vegas)

#101

model 17 higher

Recruiting Rank

#23

recruiting 61 spots higher

19 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense

3th

Opp-adjusted defense

72th

Offensive EPA/play

13th

Defensive EPA/play

74th

Offensive success rate

28th

Explosiveness

8th

Defensive havoc

52th

Points per drive

21th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisiana2022OA -0.075 / +0.020similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, run defense397 2Tennessee2019OA -0.013 / +0.086similar: defensive EPA, havoc rate, turnover rate358 3Northwestern2020OA -0.022 / +0.067similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, offensive success rate350 4TCU2018OA -0.079 / +0.129similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, offensive success rate344 5California2018OA -0.154 / +0.144similar: offensive success rate, takeaway rate, pass defense340

2021 Schedule & Results

13 games

Wk	Opponent	Score	W/L	Spread	ATS	Total	O/U
1	vs Eastern Illinois	46-0	W	-40.5	W	-	-
2	@ East Carolina	20-17	W	+3.5	W	54.5	U
3	@ Georgia	13-40	L	+34.5	W	55.5	U
4	vs Kentucky	10-16	L	+4.5	L	48.5	U
5	vs Troy	23-14	W	-6.5	W	43	U
6	@ Tennessee	20-45	L	+10.5	L	56.5	O
7	vs Vanderbilt	21-20	W	-18.5	L	51	U
8	@ Texas A&M	14-44	L	+20.5	L	45	O
10	vs Florida	40-17	W	+18.0	W	53	O
11	@ Missouri	28-31	L	+1.0	L	55	O
12	vs Auburn	21-17	W	+7.5	W	44.5	U
13	vs Clemson	0-30	L	+11.5	L	43	U
18	vs North Carolina	38-21	W	-	-	-	-

Betting Profile

ATS Record

7-6

53.8%

O/U Record

5-7

41.7%

Straight Up

7-6

53.8%

Home ATS5-3

Away ATS2-3

Favorite ATS2-1

Underdog ATS5-5

Last 5 ATS

WLWLW

Full ATS log & splits →

Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Situation	OFF EPA	OFF Rank	DEF EPA	DEF Rank
Overall	-0.106	16th	-0.087	85th
Red Zone	-0.265	10th	-0.156	77th
Third Down	+0.045	41th	-0.083	76th
No Garbage Time	-0.125	15th	-0.059	70th
First Half	-0.132	17th	-0.018	55th
Second Half	-0.081	20th	-0.162	92th
Early Downs	-0.160	8th	-0.139	95th
Passing Downs	-0.091	26th	-0.011	53th
Standard Downs	-0.115	13th	-0.123	92th
Goal to Go	-0.081	42th	+0.004	50th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 43.5%Rush 56.5%

Havoc/Game

12.2

Havoc Rate

18.7%

TO Margin

0.0

Explosive/G

10.5

Yards/Game

337.3

Pts/Drive

1.73

3rd Down%

35.1%

3&Out%

15.9%

Team Statistics

2021 season totals across 13 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.

Stat	South Carolina	Opponents
Scoring
Points	294	312
Points / Game	22.6	24.0
First Downs
Total	231	240
Rushing	104	123
Passing	105	102
Penalty	22	15
Rushing
Attempts	468	485
Yards	1,770	2,275
Yards / Carry	3.8	4.7
Yards / Game	136.2	175.0
Touchdowns	9	18
Passing
Attempts	360	336
Completions	211	196
Completion %	58.6%	58.3%
Yards	2,615	2,350
Yards / Attempt	7.3	7.0
Touchdowns	22	16
Interceptions	11	15
Passer Rating	133.68	123.87
Total Offense
Plays	828	821
Yards	4,385	4,625
Yards / Play	5.3	5.6
Yards / Game	337.3	355.8
Punt Returns
Returns	10	11
Yards	71	127
Average	7.1	11.5
Touchdowns	0	1
Kickoff Returns
Returns	20	25
Yards	479	443
Average	23.9	17.7
Touchdowns	0	0
Punting
Punts	59	63
Yards	2,525	2,633
Average	42.8	41.8
Interception Returns
Returns	15	11
Yards	287	63
Touchdowns	3	0
Fumbles
Fumbles	23	15
Lost	13	9
Penalties
Penalties	76	60
Yards	597	558
Yards / Game	45.9	42.9
Time of Possession
Per Game	30:47	29:13
Third Downs
Attempts	171	169
Conversions	60	68
Conversion %	35.1%	40.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts	28	10
Conversions	14	5
Conversion %	50.0%	50.0%
Red Zone
Trips	41	37
Scores (TD + FG)	31	33
Score %	75.6%	89.2%
Touchdowns	20	18
TD %	48.8%	48.6%
Field Goals
Attempts	17	22
Made	16	19
Pct	94.1%	86.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts	32	35
Made	32	35
Pct	100.0%	100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts	3	1
Made	2	1

Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.

Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →