Fourth Down Data
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UAB

UAB

BlazersBalanced
American Conference4-8#133 (-20.57)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

2· FOverall
Offense
23· DRating
62· CPer play
40· CConsistency
64· CBig plays
Defense
1· FRating
3· FPer play
6· FConsistency
Situational
70· BRed-zone O
3· FRed-zone D
97· A+3rd down O
1· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.033
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.164
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.029
Defensive EPA/play
+0.171
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.9%
Def Success Rate
49.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.8%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.142
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.068
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.20

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.11
expected pts/game
Kicking
-1.58
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.54
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
-0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#133
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#123
market 10 higher
Recruiting Rank
#71
recruiting 62 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
40th
Opp-adjusted defense
4th
Offensive EPA/play
62th
Defensive EPA/play
3th
Offensive success rate
57th
Explosiveness
64th
Defensive havoc
1th
Points per drive
46th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Charlotte2022OA +0.026 / -0.239similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, havoc rate4142East Carolina2017OA +0.049 / -0.255similar: havoc rate, pass defense, defensive EPA3773UCLA2019OA -0.012 / -0.052similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, pass defense3764Arizona2019OA -0.007 / -0.040similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, offensive success rate3695Charlotte2021OA +0.009 / -0.235similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, defensive success rate356

2025 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Alabama State52-42W----
2@ Navy24-38L+18.5W79.5U
3vs Akron31-28W-11.5L58.5O
4@ Tennessee24-56L+38.5W69O
6vs Army13-31L+6.5L57.5U
7@ Florida Atlantic33-53L+5.0L66O
8vs Memphis31-24W+7.5W58.5U
10@ UConn19-38L+11.5L62.5U
11@ Rice17-24L+6.5L47.5U
12vs North Texas24-53L+22.5L80.5U
13vs South Florida18-48L+16.5L57.5O
14@ Tulsa31-24W+8.5W54.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS4-6
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off85thRush Off70thRed Zone Off70th3rd Down Off98thPass Def4thRush Def4thRed Zone Def3th3rd Down Def1th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.09182th+0.1643th
Red Zone+0.09470th+0.2763th
Third Down+0.52598th+0.4721th
No Garbage Time+0.02962th+0.1733th
First Half+0.04466th+0.2411th
Second Half+0.13888th+0.07919th
Early Downs+0.00555th+0.07412th
Passing Downs+0.17485th+0.2314th
Standard Downs+0.04970th+0.1344th
Goal to Go-0.03451th+0.28510th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 52.5%Rush 47.5%
Havoc/Game
8.4
Havoc Rate
12.5%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
13.4
Yards/Game
404.3
Pts/Drive
2.20
3rd Down%
46.4%
3&Out%
15.3%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 12 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUABOpponents
Scoring
Points317459
Points / Game26.438.3
First Downs
Total264260
Rushing93121
Passing150113
Penalty2126
Rushing
Attempts396495
Yards1,6642,293
Yards / Carry4.24.6
Yards / Game138.7191.1
Touchdowns2031
Passing
Attempts437286
Completions287189
Completion %65.7%66.1%
Yards3,1872,787
Yards / Attempt7.39.7
Touchdowns2027
Interceptions154
Passer Rating135.17176.30
Total Offense
Plays833781
Yards4,8515,080
Yards / Play5.86.5
Yards / Game404.3423.3
Punt Returns
Returns1213
Yards115157
Average9.612.1
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3327
Yards705673
Average21.424.9
Touchdowns11
Punting
Punts3129
Yards1,2721,253
Average41.043.2
Interception Returns
Returns415
Yards52105
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1110
Lost65
Penalties
Penalties9072
Yards745616
Yards / Game62.151.3
Time of Possession
Per Game31:1928:39
Third Downs
Attempts168147
Conversions7872
Conversion %46.4%49.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3631
Conversions1719
Conversion %47.2%61.3%
Red Zone
Trips4451
Scores (TD + FG)3545
Score %79.5%88.2%
Touchdowns2939
TD %65.9%76.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1413
Made1012
Pct71.4%92.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2957
Made2957
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts123
Made63
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →