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UCLA
UCLA
BruinsBalancedBig Ten Conference4-8#70 (-1.71)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
48· COverall
Offense
49· CRating
47· CPer play
61· CConsistency
44· CBig plays
Defense
41· CRating
12· FPer play
31· DConsistency
Situational
30· DRed-zone O
26· DRed-zone D
78· B3rd down O
6· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.012
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.052
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.001
Defensive EPA/play
+0.110
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.6%
Def Success Rate
48.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.109
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.079
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.06
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.56
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.11
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.50
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.02
own return game
Return Defense
-0.07
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#70
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#20
recruiting 50 spots higher
29 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UCLA ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense46th
Opp-adjusted defense30th
Offensive EPA/play47th
Defensive EPA/play12th
Offensive success rate54th
Explosiveness45th
Defensive havoc34th
Points per drive43th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Memphis2021OA +0.054 / -0.036similar: offensive success rate, takeaway rate, havoc rate4052UAB2025OA -0.033 / -0.164similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, pass defense3763Old Dominion2018OA -0.024 / -0.145similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, passing offense3704North Texas2019OA -0.041 / -0.097similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, offensive success rate3625Arkansas State2020OA +0.026 / -0.039similar: pass defense, havoc rate, takeaway rate359
2019 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Cincinnati | 14-24 | L | +2.5 | L | 55.5 | U |
| 2 | vs San Diego State | 14-23 | L | -7.5 | L | 44.5 | U |
| 3 | vs Oklahoma | 14-48 | L | +22.5 | L | 72 | U |
| 4 | @ Washington State | 67-63 | W | +17.0 | W | 59.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Arizona | 17-20 | L | +6.5 | W | 72.5 | U |
| 6 | vs Oregon State | 31-48 | L | -4.5 | L | 63.5 | O |
| 8 | @ Stanford | 34-16 | W | +5.5 | W | 48.5 | O |
| 9 | vs Arizona State | 42-32 | W | +3.0 | W | 56 | O |
| 10 | vs Colorado | 31-14 | W | -6.5 | W | 65 | U |
| 12 | @ Utah | 3-49 | L | +21.0 | L | 52 | P |
| 13 | @ USC | 35-52 | L | +13.5 | L | 67 | O |
| 14 | vs California | 18-28 | L | -1.0 | L | 51 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
5-6-1
45.5%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS4-4
Last 5 ATS
WWLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.010 | 40th | +0.111 | 9th |
| Red Zone | -0.129 | 30th | +0.090 | 26th |
| Third Down | +0.181 | 78th | +0.319 | 6th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.016 | 54th | +0.103 | 13th |
| First Half | -0.071 | 22th | +0.111 | 16th |
| Second Half | +0.047 | 66th | +0.111 | 11th |
| Early Downs | -0.032 | 33th | +0.011 | 48th |
| Passing Downs | +0.114 | 75th | +0.313 | 4th |
| Standard Downs | -0.075 | 19th | +0.014 | 42th |
| Goal to Go | +0.187 | 79th | +0.013 | 44th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 46.5%Rush 53.5%
Havoc/Game
12.3
Havoc Rate
17.2%
TO Margin
-0.7
Explosive/G
16.3
Yards/Game
405.7
Pts/Drive
2.06
3rd Down%
42.1%
3&Out%
14.2%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 12 games — UCLA vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UCLA | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 320 | 417 |
| Points / Game | 26.7 | 34.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 269 | 263 |
| Rushing | 111 | 88 |
| Passing | 137 | 156 |
| Penalty | 21 | 19 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 490 | 411 |
| Yards | 1,802 | 1,746 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.7 | 4.2 |
| Yards / Game | 150.2 | 145.5 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 21 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 426 | 405 |
| Completions | 260 | 269 |
| Completion % | 61.0% | 66.4% |
| Yards | 3,066 | 3,729 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.2 | 9.2 |
| Touchdowns | 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 132.90 | 167.37 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 916 | 816 |
| Yards | 4,868 | 5,475 |
| Yards / Play | 5.3 | 6.7 |
| Yards / Game | 405.7 | 456.3 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 13 |
| Yards | 180 | 138 |
| Average | 22.5 | 10.6 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 8 |
| Yards | 416 | 171 |
| Average | 21.9 | 21.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 50 | 46 |
| Yards | 2,100 | 1,957 |
| Average | 42.0 | 42.5 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 12 |
| Yards | 76 | 56 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 17 | 12 |
| Lost | 10 | 9 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 81 | 78 |
| Yards | 663 | 616 |
| Yards / Game | 55.3 | 51.3 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:22 | 29:38 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 183 | 156 |
| Conversions | 77 | 69 |
| Conversion % | 42.1% | 44.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 29 | 17 |
| Conversions | 13 | 7 |
| Conversion % | 44.8% | 41.2% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 49 | 46 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 38 | 39 |
| Score % | 77.6% | 84.8% |
| Touchdowns | 32 | 31 |
| TD % | 65.3% | 67.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 14 | 17 |
| Made | 8 | 11 |
| Pct | 57.1% | 64.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 40 | 53 |
| Made | 40 | 52 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 98.1% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 2 |
| Made | 2 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.