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CLT
Charlotte
49ersBalancedAmerican Conference0-1#137 (-20.74)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
1· FOverall
Offense
20· DRating
50· CPer play
44· CConsistency
38· DBig plays
Defense
0· FRating
14· FPer play
24· DConsistency
Situational
40· CRed-zone O
11· FRed-zone D
96· A3rd down O
25· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.023
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.155
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.066
Defensive EPA/play
+0.185
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.1%
Def Success Rate
48.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.119
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.23
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.96
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.27
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.19
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.31
own return game
Return Defense
-0.20
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Charlotte ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense28th
Opp-adjusted defense0th
Offensive EPA/play50th
Defensive EPA/play14th
Offensive success rate44th
Explosiveness38th
Defensive havoc30th
Points per drive58th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Cincinnati2024OA +0.013 / -0.011similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, passing offense3052North Texas2019OA -0.041 / -0.097similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, turnover rate2983South Carolina2020OA +0.001 / -0.037similar: defensive EPA, run defense, rushing offense2964San José State2025OA -0.049 / -0.102similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, offensive success rate2965Arizona2019OA -0.007 / -0.040similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, defensive EPA287
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs The Citadel | 41-43 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | @ Ole Miss | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ App State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Louisiana | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Memphis | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ North Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Temple | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | vs Tulane | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ UAB | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs East Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Tulsa | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Navy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-0
-
O/U Record
0-0
-
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.066 | 55th | +0.185 | 11th |
| Red Zone | -0.055 | 41th | +0.689 | 11th |
| Third Down | +1.092 | 97th | +0.241 | 25th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.066 | 53th | +0.185 | 12th |
| First Half | -0.030 | 36th | -0.198 | 63th |
| Second Half | +0.152 | 65th | +0.568 | 1th |
| Early Downs | -0.214 | 14th | -0.383 | 88th |
| Passing Downs | +0.324 | 69th | +1.113 | 0th |
| Standard Downs | -0.049 | 35th | -0.330 | 81th |
| Goal to Go | +0.227 | 40th | +0.867 | 20th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 55.4%Rush 44.6%
Havoc/Game
9.0
Havoc Rate
14.1%
TO Margin
-2.0
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
538.0
Pts/Drive
3.23
3rd Down%
64.7%
3&Out%
7.7%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Charlotte vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Charlotte | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 41 | 43 |
| Points / Game | 41.0 | 43.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 21 | 16 |
| Rushing | 7 | 11 |
| Passing | 14 | 5 |
| Penalty | 0 | 0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 33 | 50 |
| Yards | 216 | 268 |
| Yards / Carry | 6.5 | 5.4 |
| Yards / Game | 216.0 | 268.0 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 6 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 41 | 13 |
| Completions | 28 | 9 |
| Completion % | 68.3% | 69.2% |
| Yards | 322 | 132 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.9 | 10.2 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0 |
| Passer Rating | 148.65 | 154.52 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 74 | 63 |
| Yards | 538 | 400 |
| Yards / Play | 7.3 | 6.3 |
| Yards / Game | 538.0 | 400.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 3 | 3 |
| Yards | 9 | 54 |
| Average | 3.0 | 18.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 2 | 0 |
| Yards | 36 | 0 |
| Average | 18.0 | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 4 | 6 |
| Yards | 196 | 254 |
| Average | 49.0 | 42.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 2 |
| Yards | 0 | 27 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 0 | 0 |
| Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 6 | 2 |
| Yards | 35 | 10 |
| Yards / Game | 35.0 | 10.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:15 | 29:45 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 17 | 15 |
| Conversions | 11 | 8 |
| Conversion % | 64.7% | 53.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 1 |
| Conversions | 1 | 1 |
| Conversion % | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 5 | 4 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 4 | 4 |
| Score % | 80.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 4 |
| TD % | 80.0% | 100.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
| Pct | — | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 5 |
| Made | 5 | 5 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.