Fourth Down Data
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CCU

Coastal Carolina

ChanticleersBalanced
Sun Belt Conference0-1#50 (+3.98)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

64· COverall
Offense
62· CRating
51· CPer play
32· DConsistency
54· CBig plays
Defense
63· CRating
34· DPer play
53· CConsistency
Situational
9· FRed-zone O
61· CRed-zone D
9· F3rd down O
22· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.044
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.010
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.071
Defensive EPA/play
+0.021
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.8%
Def Success Rate
41.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.049
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.85

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.08
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.04
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.01
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.09
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Coastal Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
85th
Opp-adjusted defense
57th
Offensive EPA/play
51th
Defensive EPA/play
34th
Offensive success rate
31th
Explosiveness
55th
Defensive havoc
17th
Points per drive
34th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Michigan State2022OA +0.034 / -0.048similar: run defense, defensive success rate, offensive EPA3392Mississippi State2024OA +0.011 / -0.053similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, passing offense3323Hawai'i2024OA -0.018 / -0.015similar: defensive EPA, turnover rate, TD drive rate3224Purdue2020OA +0.014 / -0.015similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, havoc rate3155South Alabama2020OA -0.014 / -0.016similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, pass defense315

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ West Virginia24-31L+21.0W54.5O
2vs Fordham------
3@ Delaware------
4vs Liberty------
5vs Georgia Southern------
6@ Marshall------
7vs App State------
9@ Georgia State------
10vs Old Dominion------
11vs Arkansas State------
12@ Louisiana------
13@ James Madison------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS1-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off87thRush Off16thRed Zone Off9th3rd Down Off9thPass Def52thRush Def27thRed Zone Def62th3rd Down Def22th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.07156th+0.02134th
Red Zone-0.6279th-0.27362th
Third Down-0.7549th+0.30422th
No Garbage Time+0.07154th+0.02136th
First Half-0.4626th+0.17217th
Second Half+0.43594th-0.20566th
Early Downs+0.01344th-0.04544th
Passing Downs+0.51787th-0.07052th
Standard Downs-0.21516th+0.06227th
Goal to Go-0th+0.55439th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 57.8%Rush 42.2%
Havoc/Game
9.0
Havoc Rate
11.3%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
425.0
Pts/Drive
1.85
3rd Down%
20.0%
3&Out%
15.4%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Coastal Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatCoastal CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points2431
Points / Game24.031.0
First Downs
Total2218
Rushing311
Passing156
Penalty41
Rushing
Attempts2761
Yards52281
Yards / Carry1.94.6
Yards / Game52.0281.0
Touchdowns03
Passing
Attempts3714
Completions2111
Completion %56.8%78.6%
Yards373132
Yards / Attempt10.19.4
Touchdowns31
Interceptions00
Passer Rating168.19181.34
Total Offense
Plays6475
Yards425413
Yards / Play6.65.5
Yards / Game425.0413.0
Punt Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Average——
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns01
Yards019
Average—19.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts66
Yards253248
Average42.241.3
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles32
Lost21
Penalties
Penalties107
Yards6070
Yards / Game60.070.0
Time of Possession
Per Game27:0432:56
Third Downs
Attempts1018
Conversions29
Conversion %20.0%50.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts21
Conversions11
Conversion %50.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips35
Scores (TD + FG)24
Score %66.7%80.0%
Touchdowns13
TD %33.3%60.0%
Field Goals
Attempts11
Made11
Pct100.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts34
Made34
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →