Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
JMU

James Madison

DukesRun-Heavy
Sun Belt Conference1-0#86 (-1.63)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

38· DOverall
Offense
34· DRating
30· DPer play
10· FConsistency
64· CBig plays
Defense
47· CRating
38· DPer play
37· DConsistency
Situational
19· DRed-zone O
97· A+Red-zone D
24· D3rd down O
30· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.022
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.021
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.048
Defensive EPA/play
-0.010
lower = better
Off Success Rate
36.7%
Def Success Rate
44.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.038
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.22

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.36
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.24
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.13
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.02
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where James Madison ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
30th
Opp-adjusted defense
32th
Offensive EPA/play
31th
Defensive EPA/play
39th
Offensive success rate
11th
Explosiveness
65th
Defensive havoc
28th
Points per drive
42th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Cincinnati2017OA -0.045 / -0.091similar: takeaway rate, pass defense, TD drive rate3432Kansas State2020OA -0.003 / -0.042similar: passing offense, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3223Stanford2026OA -0.036 / -0.136similar: rushing offense, pass defense, havoc rate3204Arkansas State2023OA +0.000 / -0.069similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, turnover rate3155North Carolina2025OA -0.056 / -0.062similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, passing offense314

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Liberty20-13W-6.5W50.5U
2vs Wagner------
3@ San Diego State------
4@ Old Dominion------
5vs Marshall------
6@ Georgia Southern------
7vs Georgia State------
8@ App State------
9vs Troy------
10@ Southern Miss------
11@ UConn------
13vs Coastal Carolina------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off60thRush Off15thRed Zone Off19th3rd Down Off24thPass Def21thRush Def66thRed Zone Def98th3rd Down Def30th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.04831th-0.01039th
Red Zone-0.29119th-1.27098th
Third Down-0.24324th+0.17830th
No Garbage Time-0.04831th-0.01041th
First Half+0.33392th+0.03035th
Second Half-0.4155th-0.04949th
Early Downs-0.2599th-0.29980th
Passing Downs+0.19460th+0.32021th
Standard Downs-0.21615th-0.20366th
Goal to Go-0.19324th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 36.7%Rush 63.3%
Havoc/Game
9.0
Havoc Rate
13.8%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
12.0
Yards/Game
291.0
Pts/Drive
2.22
3rd Down%
40.0%
3&Out%
33.3%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — James Madison vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatJames MadisonOpponents
Scoring
Points2013
Points / Game20.013.0
First Downs
Total1519
Rushing76
Passing510
Penalty33
Rushing
Attempts3138
Yards17391
Yards / Carry5.62.4
Yards / Game173.091.0
Touchdowns10
Passing
Attempts1827
Completions1217
Completion %66.7%63.0%
Yards118230
Yards / Attempt6.68.5
Touchdowns11
Interceptions00
Passer Rating140.07146.74
Total Offense
Plays4965
Yards291321
Yards / Play5.94.9
Yards / Game291.0321.0
Punt Returns
Returns12
Yards411
Average4.05.5
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns11
Yards3621
Average36.021.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts44
Yards187161
Average46.840.3
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles02
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties812
Yards9282
Yards / Game92.082.0
Time of Possession
Per Game22:3837:17
Third Downs
Attempts1016
Conversions47
Conversion %40.0%43.8%
Fourth Downs
Attempts03
Conversions01
Conversion %—33.3%
Red Zone
Trips42
Scores (TD + FG)31
Score %75.0%50.0%
Touchdowns20
TD %50.0%0.0%
Field Goals
Attempts22
Made22
Pct100.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts21
Made21
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →