Fourth Down Data
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AKR

Akron

ZipsBalanced
Mid-American Conference0-1#116 (-6.81)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

16· DOverall
Offense
22· DRating
21· DPer play
55· CConsistency
53· CBig plays
Defense
18· DRating
12· FPer play
40· CConsistency
Situational
78· BRed-zone O
72· BRed-zone D
43· C3rd down O
29· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.010
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.029
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.138
Defensive EPA/play
+0.220
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.7%
Def Success Rate
47.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.359
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.50

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.06
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.06
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.02
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
-0.05
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Akron ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
36th
Opp-adjusted defense
30th
Offensive EPA/play
21th
Defensive EPA/play
12th
Offensive success rate
59th
Explosiveness
53th
Defensive havoc
22th
Points per drive
7th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Stanford2022OA -0.135 / -0.059similar: offensive EPA, takeaway rate, offensive success rate3422Stanford2022OA -0.135 / -0.059similar: offensive EPA, takeaway rate, offensive success rate3423Vanderbilt2022OA +0.014 / -0.067similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3144Louisiana Tech2023OA -0.009 / -0.137similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, havoc rate3025UNLV2020OA -0.027 / -0.044similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA299

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Wake Forest16-38L+25.0W48.5O
2vs Robert Morris------
3@ Minnesota------
4vs UNLV------
5@ Central Michigan------
6vs Eastern Michigan------
7@ Miami (OH)------
8@ Kent State------
10vs Ohio------
11vs Western Michigan------
12@ Massachusetts------
13vs Buffalo------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS1-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off66thRush Off41thRed Zone Off79th3rd Down Off44thPass Def46thRush Def11thRed Zone Def73th3rd Down Def29th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.05849th+0.08921th
Red Zone+0.40379th-0.46173th
Third Down+0.02344th+0.18029th
No Garbage Time-0.16518th+0.16115th
First Half-0.13824th+0.22012th
Second Half+0.20974th-0.10953th
Early Downs+0.03953th+0.06922th
Passing Downs+0.25266th-0.00646th
Standard Downs-0.01141th+0.15611th
Goal to Go+0.24843th-0.40782th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.8%Rush 52.2%
Havoc/Game
9.0
Havoc Rate
12.9%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
7.0
Yards/Game
305.0
Pts/Drive
0.50
3rd Down%
46.2%
3&Out%
16.7%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Akron vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatAkronOpponents
Scoring
Points1638
Points / Game16.038.0
First Downs
Total2020
Rushing128
Passing510
Penalty32
Rushing
Attempts3633
Yards149203
Yards / Carry4.16.2
Yards / Game149.0203.0
Touchdowns01
Passing
Attempts3335
Completions2822
Completion %84.8%62.9%
Yards156356
Yards / Attempt4.710.2
Touchdowns23
Interceptions00
Passer Rating144.56176.58
Total Offense
Plays6968
Yards305559
Yards / Play4.48.2
Yards / Game305.0559.0
Punt Returns
Returns02
Yards044
Average—22.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns01
Yards017
Average—17.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts52
Yards22498
Average44.849.0
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles12
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties511
Yards35115
Yards / Game35.0115.0
Time of Possession
Per Game30:3629:24
Third Downs
Attempts1315
Conversions67
Conversion %46.2%46.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts12
Conversions02
Conversion %0.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips35
Scores (TD + FG)34
Score %100.0%80.0%
Touchdowns21
TD %66.7%20.0%
Field Goals
Attempts14
Made13
Pct100.0%75.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts23
Made13
Pct50.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts01
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →