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WYO
Wyoming
CowboysBalancedMountain West Conference4-8#111 (-11.52)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
18· DOverall
Offense
0· FRating
6· FPer play
23· DConsistency
25· DBig plays
Defense
68· CRating
73· BPer play
80· BConsistency
Situational
14· FRed-zone O
85· BRed-zone D
7· F3rd down O
76· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.170
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.043
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.157
Defensive EPA/play
-0.081
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.4%
Def Success Rate
42.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.076
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.168
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.19
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.93
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.93
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.14
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.00
own return game
Return Defense
-0.15
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#111
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#98
market 13 higher
Recruiting Rank
#71
recruiting 40 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Wyoming ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense4th
Opp-adjusted defense69th
Offensive EPA/play6th
Defensive EPA/play73th
Offensive success rate24th
Explosiveness25th
Defensive havoc27th
Points per drive2th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Texas State2018OA -0.180 / +0.024similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA4452Charlotte2023OA -0.104 / +0.014similar: TD drive rate, takeaway rate, offensive EPA3713Oregon State2025OA -0.080 / -0.013similar: defensive success rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3694Buffalo2023OA -0.107 / -0.008similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, rushing offense3455Marshall2023OA -0.105 / +0.027similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, offensive EPA341
2025 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Akron | 10-0 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | 31-7 | W | -15.5 | W | 43 | U |
| 3 | vs Utah | 6-31 | L | +23.5 | L | 47 | U |
| 4 | @ Colorado | 20-37 | L | +12.0 | L | 45.5 | O |
| 6 | vs UNLV | 17-31 | L | +4.0 | L | 50.5 | U |
| 7 | vs San José State | 35-28 | W | +1.5 | W | 49.5 | O |
| 8 | @ Air Force | 21-24 | L | +2.5 | L | 44.5 | O |
| 9 | vs Colorado State | 28-0 | W | -5.0 | W | 46.5 | U |
| 10 | @ San Diego State | 7-24 | L | +10.0 | L | 42 | U |
| 12 | @ Fresno State | 3-24 | L | +3.0 | L | 40.5 | U |
| 13 | vs Nevada | 7-13 | L | -6.5 | L | 40 | U |
| 14 | @ Hawai'i | 7-27 | L | +7.0 | L | 44.5 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
3-9
25.0%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS3-1
Underdog ATS1-7
Last 5 ATS
WLLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.144 | 4th | -0.085 | 80th |
| Red Zone | -0.184 | 14th | -0.199 | 86th |
| Third Down | -0.237 | 7th | -0.077 | 76th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.153 | 6th | -0.081 | 73th |
| First Half | -0.195 | 6th | -0.054 | 64th |
| Second Half | -0.093 | 16th | -0.116 | 87th |
| Early Downs | -0.071 | 20th | -0.104 | 83th |
| Passing Downs | -0.265 | 4th | -0.069 | 65th |
| Standard Downs | -0.075 | 16th | -0.095 | 82th |
| Goal to Go | -0.429 | 5th | -0.333 | 84th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 49.7%Rush 50.3%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
16.3%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
13.3
Yards/Game
314.7
Pts/Drive
1.19
3rd Down%
33.7%
3&Out%
19.8%
Team Statistics
2025 season totals across 12 games — Wyoming vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Wyoming | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 192 | 246 |
| Points / Game | 16.0 | 20.5 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 212 | 220 |
| Rushing | 89 | 107 |
| Passing | 99 | 93 |
| Penalty | 24 | 20 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 390 | 443 |
| Yards | 1,580 | 2,025 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Yards / Game | 131.7 | 168.8 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 13 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 385 | 346 |
| Completions | 215 | 192 |
| Completion % | 55.8% | 55.5% |
| Yards | 2,196 | 2,106 |
| Yards / Attempt | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 10 |
| Passer Rating | 108.67 | 115.15 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 775 | 789 |
| Yards | 3,776 | 4,131 |
| Yards / Play | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Yards / Game | 314.7 | 344.3 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 23 |
| Yards | 242 | 215 |
| Average | 11.5 | 9.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 21 |
| Yards | 203 | 534 |
| Average | 16.9 | 25.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 67 | 60 |
| Yards | 2,997 | 2,832 |
| Average | 44.7 | 47.2 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 10 | 12 |
| Yards | 144 | 128 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 10 | 10 |
| Lost | 6 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 79 | 84 |
| Yards | 675 | 752 |
| Yards / Game | 56.3 | 62.7 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:22 | 31:30 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 166 | 168 |
| Conversions | 56 | 59 |
| Conversion % | 33.7% | 35.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 17 |
| Conversions | 12 | 11 |
| Conversion % | 52.2% | 64.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 25 | 32 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 17 | 22 |
| Score % | 68.0% | 68.8% |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 17 |
| TD % | 52.0% | 53.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 23 |
| Made | 6 | 11 |
| Pct | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 24 | 29 |
| Made | 24 | 29 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.