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WYO
Wyoming
CowboysBalancedMountain West Conference3-9#119 (-6.46)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
12· FOverall
Offense
4· FRating
16· DPer play
9· FConsistency
43· CBig plays
Defense
37· DRating
43· CPer play
46· CConsistency
Situational
55· CRed-zone O
51· CRed-zone D
17· D3rd down O
98· A+3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.049
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.004
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.095
Defensive EPA/play
+0.008
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.6%
Def Success Rate
45.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.103
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.095
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.49
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.30
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.13
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.49
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.01
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#119
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#117
market 2 higher
Recruiting Rank
#70
recruiting 49 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Wyoming ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense10th
Opp-adjusted defense49th
Offensive EPA/play16th
Defensive EPA/play43th
Offensive success rate8th
Explosiveness43th
Defensive havoc19th
Points per drive9th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Nevada2023OA -0.179 / +0.003similar: offensive success rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense4372Northern Illinois2019OA -0.044 / -0.008similar: pass defense, turnover rate, takeaway rate4363Kansas2020OA -0.097 / -0.019similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate4364Kennesaw State2024OA -0.085 / -0.027similar: takeaway rate, run defense, havoc rate4245Wisconsin2024OA -0.031 / +0.002similar: passing offense, run defense, pass defense390
2024 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Arizona State | 7-48 | L | +7.0 | L | 48 | O |
| 2 | vs Idaho | 13-17 | L | -7.5 | L | 40.5 | U |
| 3 | vs BYU | 14-34 | L | +11.0 | L | 40.5 | O |
| 4 | @ North Texas | 17-44 | L | +7.5 | L | 55.5 | O |
| 5 | vs Air Force | 31-19 | W | +4.0 | W | 34 | O |
| 7 | vs San Diego State | 24-27 | L | +2.5 | L | 41.5 | O |
| 8 | @ San José State | 14-24 | L | +11.5 | W | 50.5 | U |
| 9 | vs Utah State | 25-27 | L | -2.0 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 10 | @ New Mexico | 49-45 | W | +7.5 | W | 60.5 | O |
| 12 | @ Colorado State | 10-24 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Boise State | 13-17 | L | +22.5 | W | 57.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Washington State | 15-14 | W | +17.0 | W | 58.5 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS5-5
Last 5 ATS
LWLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.095 | 13th | +0.007 | 43th |
| Red Zone | +0.031 | 56th | -0.010 | 51th |
| Third Down | -0.040 | 17th | -0.267 | 99th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.095 | 16th | +0.012 | 43th |
| First Half | -0.126 | 15th | +0.143 | 6th |
| Second Half | -0.070 | 19th | -0.158 | 98th |
| Early Downs | -0.100 | 12th | +0.061 | 16th |
| Passing Downs | -0.110 | 19th | -0.057 | 63th |
| Standard Downs | -0.087 | 14th | +0.043 | 31th |
| Goal to Go | +0.203 | 76th | -0.169 | 79th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 43.0%Rush 57.0%
Havoc/Game
10.1
Havoc Rate
15.3%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
14.6
Yards/Game
327.3
Pts/Drive
1.49
3rd Down%
36.5%
3&Out%
23.2%
Team Statistics
2024 season totals across 12 games — Wyoming vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Wyoming | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 232 | 340 |
| Points / Game | 19.3 | 28.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 208 | 239 |
| Rushing | 86 | 104 |
| Passing | 97 | 117 |
| Penalty | 25 | 18 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 460 | 420 |
| Yards | 1,654 | 2,300 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.6 | 5.5 |
| Yards / Game | 137.8 | 191.7 |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 21 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 347 | 342 |
| Completions | 181 | 211 |
| Completion % | 52.2% | 61.7% |
| Yards | 2,273 | 2,627 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.6 | 7.7 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 6 |
| Passer Rating | 111.31 | 138.15 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 807 | 762 |
| Yards | 3,927 | 4,927 |
| Yards / Play | 4.9 | 6.5 |
| Yards / Game | 327.3 | 410.6 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 18 |
| Yards | 29 | 102 |
| Average | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 19 |
| Yards | 532 | 444 |
| Average | 25.3 | 23.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 66 | 55 |
| Yards | 2,665 | 2,403 |
| Average | 40.4 | 43.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 6 | 11 |
| Yards | 37 | 142 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 18 | 12 |
| Lost | 5 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 66 | 85 |
| Yards | 598 | 706 |
| Yards / Game | 49.8 | 58.8 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:52 | 29:08 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 181 | 143 |
| Conversions | 66 | 37 |
| Conversion % | 36.5% | 25.9% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 22 |
| Conversions | 15 | 11 |
| Conversion % | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 32 | 38 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 29 | 36 |
| Score % | 90.6% | 94.7% |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 22 |
| TD % | 59.4% | 57.9% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 24 |
| Made | 15 | 18 |
| Pct | 78.9% | 75.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 38 |
| Made | 25 | 38 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 3 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.