Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
KENN

Kennesaw State

OwlsRun-Heavy
Conference USA2-10#127 (-9.38)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

6· FOverall
Offense
0· FRating
1· FPer play
0· FConsistency
1· FBig plays
Defense
19· DRating
34· DPer play
27· DConsistency
Situational
39· DRed-zone O
16· DRed-zone D
26· D3rd down O
53· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.085
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.027
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.216
Defensive EPA/play
+0.026
lower = better
Off Success Rate
36.0%
Def Success Rate
47.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
18.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.242
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.012
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.15

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.43
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.15
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+1.17
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.16
own return game
Return Defense
-0.05
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#127
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#133
model 6 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
recruiting 47 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kennesaw State ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
1th
Opp-adjusted defense
24th
Offensive EPA/play
1th
Defensive EPA/play
34th
Offensive success rate
0th
Explosiveness
1th
Defensive havoc
25th
Points per drive
1th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Wyoming2024OA -0.049 / -0.004similar: takeaway rate, run defense, havoc rate4242Oklahoma State2025OA -0.103 / -0.061similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, offensive EPA4153UConn2021OA -0.200 / -0.127similar: passing offense, offensive success rate, offensive EPA4084Nevada2023OA -0.179 / +0.003similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, run defense4015Massachusetts2022OA -0.194 / -0.080similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, TD drive rate397

2024 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ UTSA16-28L+25.0W49.5U
2vs Louisiana10-34L+14.5L46U
3@ San José State10-31L+19.0L44U
5vs UT Martin13-24L-1.5L45.5U
6vs Jacksonville State24-63L----
8@ Middle Tennessee5-14L+25.5W46O
9vs Liberty27-24W+24.0W49U
10@ Western Kentucky14-31L----
11@ UTEP35-43L+4.0L42.5O
12vs Sam Houston17-23L+14.5W42.5U
13vs Florida International27-26W+9.0W44O
14@ Louisiana Tech0-33L+12.0L42U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-6-1
45.5%
O/U Record
4-8
33.3%
Straight Up
2-10
16.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS5-5
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off10thRush Off1thRed Zone Off40th3rd Down Off26thPass Def68thRush Def14thRed Zone Def16th3rd Down Def54th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1991th+0.03930th
Red Zone-0.04540th+0.16116th
Third Down-0.01026th+0.06854th
No Garbage Time-0.2171th+0.02834th
First Half-0.2303th+0.06724th
Second Half-0.1694th+0.00749th
Early Downs-0.2400th+0.05917th
Passing Downs-0.18410th-0.06568th
Standard Downs-0.2091th+0.08014th
Goal to Go+0.18472th+0.16118th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 39.7%Rush 60.3%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
15.8%
TO Margin
-0.5
Explosive/G
10.3
Yards/Game
250.9
Pts/Drive
1.15
3rd Down%
35.7%
3&Out%
37.5%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 12 games — Kennesaw State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKennesaw StateOpponents
Scoring
Points198374
Points / Game16.531.2
First Downs
Total164253
Rushing79119
Passing70117
Penalty1517
Rushing
Attempts452458
Yards1,3752,111
Yards / Carry3.04.6
Yards / Game114.6175.9
Touchdowns1325
Passing
Attempts297361
Completions156243
Completion %52.5%67.3%
Yards1,6362,841
Yards / Attempt5.57.9
Touchdowns621
Interceptions144
Passer Rating96.04150.40
Total Offense
Plays749819
Yards3,0114,952
Yards / Play4.06.0
Yards / Game250.9412.7
Punt Returns
Returns1632
Yards107347
Average6.710.8
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns4123
Yards989495
Average24.121.5
Touchdowns20
Punting
Punts7652
Yards3,4482,061
Average45.439.6
Interception Returns
Returns414
Yards55137
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles2117
Lost48
Penalties
Penalties6764
Yards556606
Yards / Game46.350.5
Time of Possession
Per Game29:2230:33
Third Downs
Attempts185165
Conversions6668
Conversion %35.7%41.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1822
Conversions713
Conversion %38.9%59.1%
Red Zone
Trips3052
Scores (TD + FG)2544
Score %83.3%84.6%
Touchdowns1436
TD %46.7%69.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1818
Made1410
Pct77.8%55.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2147
Made2046
Pct95.2%97.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →