Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference0-9#128 (-14.39)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

1· FOverall
Offense
0· FRating
1· FPer play
1· FConsistency
1· FBig plays
Defense
13· FRating
29· DPer play
35· DConsistency
Situational
35· DRed-zone O
33· DRed-zone D
11· F3rd down O
81· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.097
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.019
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.341
Defensive EPA/play
+0.069
lower = better
Off Success Rate
39.4%
Def Success Rate
49.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
16.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.411
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.069
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.76

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-3.56
expected pts/game
Kicking
-1.67
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.12
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.28
own return game
Return Defense
-2.29
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#128
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#112
market 16 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
1th
Opp-adjusted defense
27th
Offensive EPA/play
1th
Defensive EPA/play
30th
Offensive success rate
5th
Explosiveness
1th
Defensive havoc
16th
Points per drive
2th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Northern Illinois2026OA -0.089 / -0.010similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, havoc rate4372Wyoming2024OA -0.049 / -0.004similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate4363Nevada2023OA -0.179 / +0.003similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, passing offense4274UConn2021OA -0.200 / -0.127similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, rushing offense4035Kennesaw State2024OA -0.085 / -0.027similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, TD drive rate396

2020 Schedule & Results

9 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
2vs Coastal Carolina23-38L-7.0L56O
4@ Baylor14-47L+17.5L62U
5vs Oklahoma State7-47L+22.5L54P
7@ West Virginia17-38L+22.5W51.5O
8@ Kansas State14-55L+20.0L48.5O
9vs Iowa State22-52L+28.0L52O
10@ Oklahoma9-62L+38.0L63.5O
13vs TCU23-59L+24.0L51.5O
14@ Texas Tech13-16L+27.0W62.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
2-7
22.2%
O/U Record
6-2-1
75.0%
Straight Up
0-9
0.0%
Home ATS0-4
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS2-6
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off2thRush Off6thRed Zone Off35th3rd Down Off11thPass Def48thRush Def36thRed Zone Def34th3rd Down Def82th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.2073th+0.04739th
Red Zone-0.05835th+0.06934th
Third Down-0.20811th-0.09582th
No Garbage Time-0.2803th+0.06728th
First Half-0.2981th+0.11123th
Second Half-0.10815th-0.02663th
Early Downs-0.11910th+0.04134th
Passing Downs-0.2932th+0.05248th
Standard Downs-0.1456th+0.04536th
Goal to Go-0.07135th-0.24484th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.4%Rush 55.6%
Havoc/Game
10.8
Havoc Rate
14.5%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
7.7
Yards/Game
259.2
Pts/Drive
0.76
3rd Down%
23.2%
3&Out%
41.1%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 9 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points142414
Points / Game15.846.0
First Downs
Total143210
Rushing59112
Passing6784
Penalty1714
Rushing
Attempts354366
Yards9442,126
Yards / Carry2.75.8
Yards / Game104.9236.2
Touchdowns924
Passing
Attempts283257
Completions155159
Completion %54.8%61.9%
Yards1,3892,007
Yards / Attempt4.97.8
Touchdowns720
Interceptions104
Passer Rating97.09150.03
Total Offense
Plays637623
Yards2,3334,133
Yards / Play3.76.6
Yards / Game259.2459.2
Punt Returns
Returns421
Yards-5347
Average-1.316.5
Touchdowns03
Kickoff Returns
Returns4712
Yards1,043329
Average22.227.4
Touchdowns22
Punting
Punts6937
Yards2,6541,375
Average38.537.2
Interception Returns
Returns410
Yards23115
Touchdowns02
Fumbles
Fumbles1312
Lost46
Penalties
Penalties5161
Yards418582
Yards / Game46.464.7
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4629:14
Third Downs
Attempts142122
Conversions3351
Conversion %23.2%41.8%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2410
Conversions108
Conversion %41.7%80.0%
Red Zone
Trips1843
Scores (TD + FG)1441
Score %77.8%95.3%
Touchdowns1129
TD %61.1%67.4%
Field Goals
Attempts920
Made616
Pct66.7%80.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts1051
Made1050
Pct100.0%98.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts71
Made31
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →