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UTEP
UTEP
MinersBalancedMountain West Conference1-11#131 (-12.41)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
2· FOverall
Offense
2· FRating
4· FPer play
8· FConsistency
14· FBig plays
Defense
13· FRating
32· DPer play
16· DConsistency
Situational
61· CRed-zone O
55· CRed-zone D
32· D3rd down O
37· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.153
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.123
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.200
Defensive EPA/play
+0.042
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.2%
Def Success Rate
49.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.242
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.212
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.20
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.29
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.27
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-1.02
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.05
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#131
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#77
recruiting 54 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UTEP ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense6th
Opp-adjusted defense8th
Offensive EPA/play4th
Defensive EPA/play33th
Offensive success rate7th
Explosiveness14th
Defensive havoc20th
Points per drive3th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Northwestern2022OA -0.118 / -0.038similar: defensive EPA, turnover rate, TD drive rate4212Kennesaw State2024OA -0.085 / -0.027similar: defensive EPA, run defense, offensive EPA3843Georgia Tech2019OA -0.075 / -0.064similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, offensive success rate3764Northern Illinois2026OA -0.089 / -0.010similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, passing offense3735Kansas2020OA -0.097 / -0.019similar: passing offense, offensive success rate, defensive EPA370
2018 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Arizona | 10-30 | L | +7.0 | L | 52.5 | U |
| 2 | @ UNLV | 24-52 | L | +22.5 | L | 53.5 | O |
| 3 | @ Tennessee | 0-24 | L | +33.5 | W | 51 | U |
| 4 | vs New Mexico State | 20-27 | L | +4.5 | L | 50.5 | U |
| 5 | @ UTSA | 21-30 | L | +10.0 | W | 46.5 | O |
| 6 | vs North Texas | 24-27 | L | +26.0 | W | 52.5 | U |
| 8 | @ Louisiana Tech | 24-31 | L | +21.0 | W | 50.5 | O |
| 9 | vs UAB | 0-19 | L | +15.5 | L | 50 | U |
| 10 | @ Rice | 34-26 | W | -2.0 | W | 45 | O |
| 11 | vs Middle Tennessee | 32-48 | L | +13.5 | L | 49 | O |
| 12 | @ Western Kentucky | 16-40 | L | +6.5 | L | 47.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Southern Miss | 7-39 | L | +14.0 | L | 45 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
1-11
8.3%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS4-7
Last 5 ATS
LWLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.167 | 5th | +0.011 | 48th |
| Red Zone | +0.059 | 61th | -0.010 | 55th |
| Third Down | -0.026 | 33th | +0.067 | 37th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.215 | 3th | +0.023 | 39th |
| First Half | -0.241 | 2th | -0.002 | 48th |
| Second Half | -0.090 | 17th | +0.025 | 41th |
| Early Downs | -0.099 | 14th | +0.061 | 22th |
| Passing Downs | -0.277 | 1th | -0.157 | 86th |
| Standard Downs | -0.096 | 18th | +0.097 | 16th |
| Goal to Go | +0.054 | 48th | -0.141 | 76th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 43.1%Rush 56.9%
Havoc/Game
11.2
Havoc Rate
16.0%
TO Margin
-1.4
Explosive/G
11.0
Yards/Game
307.7
Pts/Drive
1.20
3rd Down%
35.4%
3&Out%
27.6%
Team Statistics
2018 season totals across 12 games — UTEP vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UTEP | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 212 | 393 |
| Points / Game | 17.7 | 32.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 186 | 242 |
| Rushing | 79 | 120 |
| Passing | 90 | 102 |
| Penalty | 17 | 20 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 427 | 475 |
| Yards | 1,484 | 2,349 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 123.7 | 195.8 |
| Touchdowns | 17 | 22 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 324 | 322 |
| Completions | 161 | 203 |
| Completion % | 49.7% | 63.0% |
| Yards | 2,208 | 2,387 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.8 | 7.4 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 21 |
| Interceptions | 19 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 105.39 | 143.73 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 751 | 797 |
| Yards | 3,692 | 4,736 |
| Yards / Play | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 307.7 | 394.7 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 20 |
| Yards | 129 | 112 |
| Average | 6.1 | 5.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 32 | 13 |
| Yards | 624 | 276 |
| Average | 19.5 | 21.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 74 | 62 |
| Yards | 2,909 | 2,679 |
| Average | 39.3 | 43.2 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 19 |
| Yards | 2 | 297 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 4 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 17 | 14 |
| Lost | 9 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 64 | 67 |
| Yards | 518 | 619 |
| Yards / Game | 43.2 | 51.6 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:48 | 30:12 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 164 | 160 |
| Conversions | 58 | 59 |
| Conversion % | 35.4% | 36.9% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 18 |
| Conversions | 5 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 55.6% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 32 | 51 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 25 | 44 |
| Score % | 78.1% | 86.3% |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 31 |
| TD % | 59.4% | 60.8% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 13 | 21 |
| Made | 7 | 17 |
| Pct | 53.8% | 81.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 22 | 46 |
| Made | 21 | 40 |
| Pct | 95.5% | 87.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 3 |
| Made | 4 | 3 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.