Fourth Down Data
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WYO

Wyoming

CowboysRun-Heavy
Mountain West Conference2-4#50 (+1.73)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

61· COverall
Offense
35· DRating
29· DPer play
30· DConsistency
13· FBig plays
Defense
83· BRating
97· A+Per play
92· A-Consistency
Situational
22· DRed-zone O
97· A+Red-zone D
8· F3rd down O
87· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.019
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.052
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.042
Defensive EPA/play
-0.182
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.8%
Def Success Rate
41.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.140
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.073
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.96

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.91
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.19
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.55
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.19
own return game
Return Defense
+0.02
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#50
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#29
market 21 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where Wyoming ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
29th
Opp-adjusted defense
92th
Offensive EPA/play
29th
Defensive EPA/play
98th
Offensive success rate
36th
Explosiveness
13th
Defensive havoc
69th
Points per drive
34th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Utah2018OA +0.005 / +0.129similar: defensive success rate, turnover rate, run defense4362Boise State2022OA -0.051 / +0.066similar: defensive success rate, passing offense, havoc rate3923Miami (OH)2023OA -0.108 / +0.066similar: offensive EPA, run defense, defensive EPA3774Michigan2017OA -0.033 / +0.192similar: defensive EPA, TD drive rate, pass defense3705UAB2019OA -0.120 / +0.036similar: pass defense, passing offense, offensive EPA369

2020 Schedule & Results

6 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
8@ Nevada34-37L-1.0W60U
9vs Hawai'i31-7W-3.5L52.5O
10@ Colorado State24-34L----
13@ UNLV45-14W----
14@ New Mexico16-17L-17.5L52.25U
15vs Boise State9-17L+9.5W46.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
3-3
50.0%
O/U Record
3-3
50.0%
Straight Up
2-4
33.3%
Home ATS2-0
Away ATS1-3
Favorite ATS2-3
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
WLWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off23thRush Off48thRed Zone Off22th3rd Down Off8thPass Def66thRush Def100thRed Zone Def98th3rd Down Def88th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.02737th-0.15798th
Red Zone-0.12022th-0.43498th
Third Down-0.2668th-0.14788th
No Garbage Time-0.04229th-0.18298th
First Half-0.08923th-0.12991th
Second Half+0.03153th-0.18791th
Early Downs+0.00653th-0.20199th
Passing Downs-0.08123th-0.02966th
Standard Downs+0.00348th-0.229100th
Goal to Go-0.26514th-0.37893th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 32.8%Rush 67.2%
Havoc/Game
13.8
Havoc Rate
20.0%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
13.7
Yards/Game
372.8
Pts/Drive
1.96
3rd Down%
30.3%
3&Out%
24.7%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 6 games — Wyoming vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatWyomingOpponents
Scoring
Points159126
Points / Game26.521.0
First Downs
Total111107
Rushing6848
Passing3649
Penalty710
Rushing
Attempts275221
Yards1,317752
Yards / Carry4.83.4
Yards / Game219.5125.3
Touchdowns167
Passing
Attempts134178
Completions62113
Completion %46.3%63.5%
Yards9201,216
Yards / Attempt6.96.8
Touchdowns18
Interceptions54
Passer Rating98.94131.20
Total Offense
Plays409399
Yards2,2371,968
Yards / Play5.54.9
Yards / Game372.8328.0
Punt Returns
Returns129
Yards6664
Average5.57.1
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1517
Yards290407
Average19.323.9
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3034
Yards1,1221,491
Average37.443.9
Interception Returns
Returns45
Yards6035
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles68
Lost46
Penalties
Penalties3037
Yards259311
Yards / Game43.251.8
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4129:19
Third Downs
Attempts8980
Conversions2729
Conversion %30.3%36.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts126
Conversions60
Conversion %50.0%0.0%
Red Zone
Trips2617
Scores (TD + FG)2312
Score %88.5%70.6%
Touchdowns129
TD %46.2%52.9%
Field Goals
Attempts147
Made135
Pct92.9%71.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts1615
Made1615
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →