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UAB
UAB
BlazersRun-HeavyAmerican Conference9-5#113 (-11.01)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
16· DOverall
Offense
7· FRating
24· DPer play
41· CConsistency
38· DBig plays
Defense
43· CRating
92· A-Per play
98· A+Consistency
Situational
14· FRed-zone O
58· CRed-zone D
5· F3rd down O
69· C3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.120
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.036
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.071
Defensive EPA/play
-0.142
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.3%
Def Success Rate
38.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.071
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.018
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.89
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.05
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.51
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-1.43
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.13
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#113
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 38 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense10th
Opp-adjusted defense66th
Offensive EPA/play25th
Defensive EPA/play93th
Offensive success rate31th
Explosiveness38th
Defensive havoc96th
Points per drive31th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Southern Miss2022OA -0.126 / +0.054similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, run defense4182Wyoming2020OA -0.019 / +0.052similar: pass defense, passing offense, offensive EPA3693Wake Forest2025OA -0.067 / +0.116similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, passing offense3664Marshall2023OA -0.105 / +0.027similar: passing offense, turnover rate, offensive success rate3655San Diego State2022OA -0.107 / +0.044similar: run defense, turnover rate, passing offense359
2019 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alabama State | 24-19 | W | +17.0 | W | 47 | O |
| 2 | @ Akron | 31-20 | W | -8.0 | W | 46.5 | O |
| 4 | vs South Alabama | 35-3 | W | -12.5 | W | 47.5 | U |
| 5 | @ Western Kentucky | 13-20 | L | -3.5 | L | 47.5 | U |
| 6 | vs Rice | 35-20 | W | -10.0 | W | 43.5 | O |
| 7 | @ UTSA | 33-14 | W | -12.5 | W | 47 | P |
| 8 | vs Old Dominion | 38-14 | W | -16.5 | W | 42.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Tennessee | 7-30 | L | +14.0 | L | 49 | U |
| 11 | @ Southern Miss | 2-37 | L | +7.5 | L | 49.5 | U |
| 12 | vs UTEP | 37-10 | W | -15.0 | W | 42.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Louisiana Tech | 20-14 | W | -6.5 | L | 44.5 | U |
| 14 | @ North Texas | 26-21 | W | -4.0 | W | 49.5 | U |
| 15 | @ Florida Atlantic | 6-49 | L | +8.0 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 17 | vs App State | 17-31 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
6-6-1
50.0%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS5-1
Away ATS3-4
Favorite ATS7-2
Underdog ATS1-3
Last 5 ATS
LWLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.086 | 20th | -0.128 | 92th |
| Red Zone | -0.236 | 14th | -0.045 | 59th |
| Third Down | -0.253 | 5th | -0.061 | 69th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.067 | 25th | -0.141 | 92th |
| First Half | -0.037 | 31th | -0.138 | 88th |
| Second Half | -0.140 | 13th | -0.118 | 90th |
| Early Downs | +0.032 | 65th | -0.157 | 96th |
| Passing Downs | -0.207 | 5th | -0.017 | 54th |
| Standard Downs | -0.019 | 37th | -0.204 | 98th |
| Goal to Go | +0.392 | 93th | -0.120 | 62th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 37.7%Rush 62.3%
Havoc/Game
16.5
Havoc Rate
25.1%
TO Margin
-0.6
Explosive/G
12.8
Yards/Game
351.9
Pts/Drive
1.89
3rd Down%
31.3%
3&Out%
25.6%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 14 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UAB | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 324 | 302 |
| Points / Game | 23.1 | 21.6 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 251 | 240 |
| Rushing | 109 | 88 |
| Passing | 120 | 101 |
| Penalty | 22 | 51 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 558 | 477 |
| Yards | 2,111 | 1,655 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Yards / Game | 150.8 | 118.2 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 13 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 338 | 420 |
| Completions | 192 | 217 |
| Completion % | 56.8% | 51.7% |
| Yards | 2,815 | 2,571 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.3 | 6.1 |
| Touchdowns | 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions | 20 | 7 |
| Passer Rating | 134.46 | 117.04 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 896 | 897 |
| Yards | 4,926 | 4,226 |
| Yards / Play | 5.5 | 4.7 |
| Yards / Game | 351.9 | 301.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 19 |
| Yards | 44 | 109 |
| Average | 3.4 | 5.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 28 | 16 |
| Yards | 534 | 376 |
| Average | 19.1 | 23.5 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 69 | 82 |
| Yards | 2,860 | 3,535 |
| Average | 41.4 | 43.1 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 7 | 20 |
| Yards | 87 | 184 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 28 |
| Lost | 8 | 13 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 101 | 80 |
| Yards | 992 | 743 |
| Yards / Game | 70.9 | 53.1 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 31:37 | 28:23 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 182 | 187 |
| Conversions | 57 | 53 |
| Conversion % | 31.3% | 28.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 29 |
| Conversions | 8 | 12 |
| Conversion % | 40.0% | 41.4% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 44 | 46 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 36 | 38 |
| Score % | 81.8% | 82.6% |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 29 |
| TD % | 47.7% | 63.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 15 |
| Made | 19 | 13 |
| Pct | 82.6% | 86.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 37 | 36 |
| Made | 37 | 33 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 91.7% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.