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WYO
Wyoming
CowboysRun-HeavyMountain West Conference8-5#75 (-2.86)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
44· COverall
Offense
16· DRating
39· DPer play
27· DConsistency
21· DBig plays
Defense
62· CRating
90· A-Per play
71· BConsistency
Situational
42· CRed-zone O
95· ARed-zone D
61· C3rd down O
91· A-3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.056
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.057
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.017
Defensive EPA/play
-0.136
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.2%
Def Success Rate
44.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.118
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.027
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.97
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.68
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.22
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.72
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.17
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#75
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
model & recruiting agree
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Wyoming ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense29th
Opp-adjusted defense74th
Offensive EPA/play40th
Defensive EPA/play91th
Offensive success rate22th
Explosiveness22th
Defensive havoc61th
Points per drive38th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Wisconsin2022OA -0.016 / +0.093similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, passing offense4562Virginia Tech2024OA +0.002 / +0.048similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, TD drive rate4163Boise State2022OA -0.051 / +0.066similar: turnover rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense3674Jacksonville State2023OA -0.052 / +0.090similar: run defense, defensive EPA, passing offense3675Buffalo2024OA -0.016 / +0.027similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, defensive success rate360
2019 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri | 37-31 | W | -7.5 | W | 49.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Texas State | 23-14 | W | -7.5 | W | 48 | U |
| 3 | vs Idaho | 21-16 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Tulsa | 21-24 | L | +5.5 | W | 46 | U |
| 5 | vs UNLV | 53-17 | W | -8.0 | W | 44.5 | O |
| 7 | @ San Diego State | 22-26 | L | +3.5 | L | 38.5 | O |
| 8 | vs New Mexico | 23-10 | W | -17.5 | L | 49 | U |
| 9 | vs Nevada | 31-3 | W | -12.0 | W | 44.5 | U |
| 11 | @ Boise State | 17-20 | L | +16.5 | W | 48 | U |
| 12 | @ Utah State | 21-26 | L | +4.0 | L | 51.5 | U |
| 13 | vs Colorado State | 17-7 | W | -5.0 | W | 50.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Air Force | 6-20 | L | +13.0 | L | 41 | U |
| 19 | vs Georgia State | 38-17 | W | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
7-4
63.6%
O/U Record
3-8
27.3%
Straight Up
7-5
58.3%
Home ATS3-1
Away ATS4-3
Favorite ATS5-1
Underdog ATS2-3
Last 5 ATS
WWLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.018 | 38th | -0.126 | 91th |
| Red Zone | -0.070 | 43th | -0.346 | 95th |
| Third Down | +0.095 | 61th | -0.199 | 92th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.014 | 41th | -0.133 | 91th |
| First Half | +0.044 | 63th | -0.116 | 83th |
| Second Half | -0.080 | 24th | -0.134 | 92th |
| Early Downs | -0.091 | 16th | -0.120 | 89th |
| Passing Downs | +0.054 | 59th | -0.053 | 65th |
| Standard Downs | -0.057 | 26th | -0.169 | 96th |
| Goal to Go | -0.399 | 7th | -0.622 | 94th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 30.8%Rush 69.2%
Havoc/Game
14.5
Havoc Rate
19.5%
TO Margin
+0.4
Explosive/G
13.4
Yards/Game
350.9
Pts/Drive
1.97
3rd Down%
43.3%
3&Out%
23.8%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 13 games — Wyoming vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Wyoming | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 330 | 231 |
| Points / Game | 25.4 | 17.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 231 | 266 |
| Rushing | 128 | 90 |
| Passing | 82 | 154 |
| Penalty | 21 | 22 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 575 | 477 |
| Yards | 2,792 | 1,392 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| Yards / Game | 214.8 | 107.1 |
| Touchdowns | 27 | 10 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 256 | 464 |
| Completions | 120 | 266 |
| Completion % | 46.9% | 57.3% |
| Yards | 1,770 | 3,337 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.9 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 15 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 12 |
| Passer Rating | 112.10 | 123.23 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 831 | 941 |
| Yards | 4,562 | 4,729 |
| Yards / Play | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Yards / Game | 350.9 | 363.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 34 | 21 |
| Yards | 366 | 146 |
| Average | 10.8 | 7.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 17 |
| Yards | 305 | 340 |
| Average | 27.7 | 20.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 68 | 68 |
| Yards | 2,816 | 2,836 |
| Average | 41.4 | 41.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 9 |
| Yards | 199 | 99 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 10 | 16 |
| Lost | 6 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 67 | 69 |
| Yards | 634 | 606 |
| Yards / Game | 48.8 | 46.6 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:36 | 29:24 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 187 | 200 |
| Conversions | 81 | 75 |
| Conversion % | 43.3% | 37.5% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 25 |
| Conversions | 6 | 12 |
| Conversion % | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 45 | 45 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 37 | 31 |
| Score % | 82.2% | 68.9% |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 16 |
| TD % | 57.8% | 35.6% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 22 | 26 |
| Made | 15 | 19 |
| Pct | 68.2% | 73.1% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 40 | 24 |
| Made | 37 | 24 |
| Pct | 92.5% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.