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WYO
Wyoming
CowboysRun-HeavyMountain West Conference6-6#91 (-2.59)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
32· DOverall
Offense
13· FRating
14· FPer play
8· FConsistency
19· DBig plays
Defense
65· CRating
75· BPer play
80· BConsistency
Situational
8· FRed-zone O
35· DRed-zone D
29· D3rd down O
82· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.118
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.091
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.110
Defensive EPA/play
-0.084
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.2%
Def Success Rate
42.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.026
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.170
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.62
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.67
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.20
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.77
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
-0.04
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#91
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#77
recruiting 14 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Wyoming ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense14th
Opp-adjusted defense82th
Offensive EPA/play14th
Defensive EPA/play76th
Offensive success rate6th
Explosiveness19th
Defensive havoc52th
Points per drive16th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Miami (OH)2022OA -0.109 / -0.028similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3992Western Kentucky2020OA -0.056 / +0.022similar: offensive EPA, defensive success rate, TD drive rate3573Virginia Tech2021OA -0.008 / +0.025similar: takeaway rate, turnover rate, rushing offense3494Illinois2021OA -0.054 / +0.040similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, offensive EPA3355New Mexico2022OA -0.235 / +0.019similar: havoc rate, passing offense, offensive success rate330
2018 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @ New Mexico State | 29-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | vs Washington State | 19-41 | L | +3.5 | L | 45.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Missouri | 13-40 | L | +19.0 | L | 53 | P |
| 3 | vs Wofford | 17-14 | W | -14.0 | L | 47.5 | U |
| 5 | vs Boise State | 14-34 | L | +15.5 | L | 47.5 | O |
| 6 | @ Hawai'i | 13-17 | L | +1.0 | L | 55 | U |
| 7 | @ Fresno State | 3-27 | L | +17.5 | L | 44 | U |
| 8 | vs Utah State | 16-24 | L | +13.5 | W | 49 | U |
| 9 | @ Colorado State | 34-21 | W | -3.0 | W | 47.5 | O |
| 10 | vs San José State | 24-9 | W | -17.5 | L | 38 | U |
| 12 | vs Air Force | 35-27 | W | -3.0 | W | 42.5 | O |
| 13 | @ New Mexico | 31-3 | W | -7.0 | W | 43 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-7
36.4%
O/U Record
4-6-1
40.0%
Straight Up
5-6
45.5%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS3-2
Underdog ATS1-5
Last 5 ATS
WWLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.093 | 16th | -0.086 | 81th |
| Red Zone | -0.241 | 8th | +0.061 | 36th |
| Third Down | -0.041 | 30th | -0.120 | 83th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.106 | 14th | -0.082 | 77th |
| First Half | -0.220 | 5th | -0.163 | 90th |
| Second Half | +0.036 | 64th | -0.012 | 55th |
| Early Downs | -0.095 | 15th | -0.091 | 83th |
| Passing Downs | -0.059 | 27th | -0.152 | 84th |
| Standard Downs | -0.115 | 10th | -0.047 | 64th |
| Goal to Go | +0.073 | 52th | +0.254 | 22th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 35.8%Rush 64.2%
Havoc/Game
13.0
Havoc Rate
18.5%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
12.8
Yards/Game
330.8
Pts/Drive
1.62
3rd Down%
36.8%
3&Out%
26.5%
Team Statistics
2018 season totals across 12 games — Wyoming vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Wyoming | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 248 | 264 |
| Points / Game | 20.7 | 22.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 204 | 223 |
| Rushing | 116 | 96 |
| Passing | 72 | 111 |
| Penalty | 16 | 16 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 495 | 424 |
| Yards | 2,393 | 1,554 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| Yards / Game | 199.4 | 129.5 |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 17 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 276 | 394 |
| Completions | 135 | 241 |
| Completion % | 48.9% | 61.2% |
| Yards | 1,576 | 2,360 |
| Yards / Attempt | 5.7 | 6.0 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 15 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 10 |
| Passer Rating | 103.54 | 118.97 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 771 | 818 |
| Yards | 3,969 | 3,914 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Yards / Game | 330.8 | 326.2 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 27 | 21 |
| Yards | 156 | 136 |
| Average | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 22 |
| Yards | 235 | 456 |
| Average | 19.6 | 20.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 74 | 68 |
| Yards | 2,914 | 2,967 |
| Average | 39.4 | 43.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 10 | 4 |
| Yards | 123 | 36 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 13 |
| Lost | 7 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 72 | 71 |
| Yards | 596 | 577 |
| Yards / Game | 49.7 | 48.1 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:57 | 30:03 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 174 | 176 |
| Conversions | 64 | 69 |
| Conversion % | 36.8% | 39.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 16 |
| Conversions | 4 | 11 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 68.8% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 27 | 36 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 22 | 31 |
| Score % | 81.5% | 86.1% |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 24 |
| TD % | 44.4% | 66.7% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 17 | 17 |
| Made | 16 | 12 |
| Pct | 94.1% | 70.6% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 28 | 31 |
| Made | 28 | 30 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 96.8% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.