Fourth Down Data
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WVU

West Virginia

MountaineersBalanced
Big 12 Conference6-4#46 (+2.36)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

64· COverall
Offense
28· DRating
28· DPer play
32· DConsistency
57· CBig plays
Defense
82· BRating
91· A-Per play
87· BConsistency
Situational
45· CRed-zone O
57· CRed-zone D
72· B3rd down O
75· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.023
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.046
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.045
Defensive EPA/play
-0.133
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.9%
Def Success Rate
42.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.088
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.006
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.06

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.11
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.26
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.39
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.37
own return game
Return Defense
+0.60
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#46
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#44
market 2 higher
Recruiting Rank
#26
recruiting 20 spots higher
4 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where West Virginia ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
26th
Opp-adjusted defense
91th
Offensive EPA/play
28th
Defensive EPA/play
92th
Offensive success rate
37th
Explosiveness
57th
Defensive havoc
77th
Points per drive
41th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Michigan State2017OA +0.020 / +0.139similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate4392Minnesota2024OA +0.001 / +0.055similar: defensive EPA, turnover rate, run defense3923Purdue2017OA +0.012 / +0.097similar: offensive success rate, run defense, TD drive rate3874Oklahoma State2021OA +0.044 / +0.195similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, TD drive rate3755Auburn2019OA -0.022 / +0.217similar: defensive success rate, run defense, turnover rate373

2020 Schedule & Results

10 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
2vs Eastern Kentucky56-10W----
4@ Oklahoma State13-27L+7.0L51.5U
5vs Baylor27-21W+2.5W54U
7vs Kansas38-17W-22.5L51.5O
8@ Texas Tech27-34L-3.5L54O
9vs Kansas State37-10W-3.5W46O
10@ Texas13-17L+6.5W55U
11vs TCU24-6W-3.0W45.5U
14@ Iowa State6-42L+6.5L49.5U
18@ Army24-21W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-5
44.4%
O/U Record
4-5
44.4%
Straight Up
6-4
60.0%
Home ATS3-1
Away ATS1-4
Favorite ATS2-3
Underdog ATS2-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off57thRush Off12thRed Zone Off45th3rd Down Off73thPass Def79thRush Def91thRed Zone Def58th3rd Down Def76th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.03533th-0.11890th
Red Zone-0.03345th-0.04158th
Third Down+0.22473th-0.05676th
No Garbage Time-0.05027th-0.12991th
First Half-0.02836th-0.05677th
Second Half-0.04333th-0.19094th
Early Downs-0.1336th-0.12488th
Passing Downs+0.07757th-0.06779th
Standard Downs-0.10212th-0.14791th
Goal to Go+0.00147th-0.19678th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 52.8%Rush 47.2%
Havoc/Game
13.7
Havoc Rate
21.2%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
16.4
Yards/Game
412.6
Pts/Drive
2.06
3rd Down%
41.6%
3&Out%
19.8%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 10 games — West Virginia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatWest VirginiaOpponents
Scoring
Points265205
Points / Game26.520.5
First Downs
Total219160
Rushing7472
Passing12565
Penalty2023
Rushing
Attempts358372
Yards1,3511,318
Yards / Carry3.83.5
Yards / Game135.1131.8
Touchdowns1511
Passing
Attempts401254
Completions253157
Completion %63.1%61.8%
Yards2,7751,596
Yards / Attempt6.96.3
Touchdowns1612
Interceptions411
Passer Rating132.39121.52
Total Offense
Plays759626
Yards4,1262,914
Yards / Play5.44.7
Yards / Game412.6291.4
Punt Returns
Returns2112
Yards10533
Average5.02.8
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2336
Yards460686
Average20.019.1
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts4659
Yards1,8562,496
Average40.342.3
Interception Returns
Returns114
Yards11260
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1311
Lost72
Penalties
Penalties8260
Yards741518
Yards / Game74.151.8
Time of Possession
Per Game31:6028:00
Third Downs
Attempts161140
Conversions6755
Conversion %41.6%39.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2211
Conversions126
Conversion %54.5%54.5%
Red Zone
Trips4120
Scores (TD + FG)3617
Score %87.8%85.0%
Touchdowns2512
TD %61.0%60.0%
Field Goals
Attempts2014
Made148
Pct70.0%57.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2926
Made2925
Pct100.0%96.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts20
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →